Tequilla's Keys to the Game - Oregon
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The best part of this thread: When I entered it, Chrome told me it was in Greek and offered to translate it for me.
The worst part of this thread: insane dooging. -
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Arizona didn't control shit. It was back and forth the entire game. HTH. Ducks shot themselves in the foot with retarded penalties. That was obvious to even the most raving doog.Tequilla said:1) 5 reasons likes to talk about time of possession being a huge issue leading to a rather easy 34-17 victory ... I'm going to amend that a bit here by saying that it will be the number of possessions in the game that we need to pay attention to. There's obviously a lot that goes into making this a reality, but a good number to keep in mind is 12 drives. We need to keep the game to 12 drives or less. Last week at Cal they had 13. Week before at WSU there were 15 drives. Need to keep the number down as much as possible.
2) Crystal Pepsi likes to talk about explosive plays - and that's a HUGE stat when playing Oregon. Last week against Cal, we limited their big plays and their only TD drive was an 18 play drive. Oregon kills you with the big plays. Historically, when they haven't had the ball much, possessions get limited, and they aren't able to get yards in bunches they start to panic and push the envelope. That will play into our hands. Moreover, with their OL issues and one of our greatest strengths being on the DL, the longer that we're able to force them to have to make consistent nominal gains the more likely we are to find a vital negative play for them or create a penalty that puts them in a bad down/distance situation. Cal's longest run was 13 yards and their longest reception was 25 yards. If we can keep that formula going another week, then we're looking at the defense giving us a chance to win the game.
3) It's clear that we need to run the football for a number of reasons. First, our preference is to be a 65/35 run/pass team and that fits our players. Last week Coleman and Washington both averaged 4.4 yards per carry. I will take that again this week. On average, Cal is giving up 3.5 yards per carry on the season and Oregon 4.3 yards per carry. We should be able to have similar success this week that we had last week. And while I'm not saying we need to chew clock, being able to run the ball consistently against Oregon will limit the number of possessions in the game - which I believe to be vital in beating Oregon. In Oregon's loss to Arizona, Arizona ran the ball on 55 of their 86 plays ... even though their rush game only averaged 3.8 yards per carry. But that's not the point. They controlled the game and limited Oregon to just 12 drives. Our ability to sustain drives, keep our defense fresh, and rattle Oregon outside of their comfort zone and rhythm are the biggest wins out of having a functional running game.
4) Special Teams and Hidden Yardage will also be critical. Oregon's got a long standing history of not taking FGs. Against Chip's Ducks, FGs were akin to punting. But this isn't Chip's Ducks. Getting into the high 20s or low 30s will give you a good shot to win the game. We have a decided edge in the FG game and we need to capitalize on that when we are in positions to put points on the board. Another huge key that we've had so far this year is Durkee's ability in the punt game to change field position. Against Arizona, Oregon didn't start a single drive better than their own 34. Prior to the game being out of reach in the 4th quarter against Cal, we didn't allow Cal to start a single drive with better field position than their own 31. 10 of Stanford's 17 points came off of the great field position that we gave them (they missed a FG in the other situation). Simply put, special teams needs to find ways to control the field position.
5) Turnovers goes along with special teams and the hidden yardage. We must win the turnover battle. We must find a way to flip the field once or twice during the course of the game. We need to find a path to 7-10 easy points during the game.
For the first time in a long time, and at the risk of sounding quite Doogish, this is a plan that I can see a UW actually executing against Oregon. We don't need to do anything special. We just need to do what we've been doing. What we've been prepared to do. And BTW, I fully expect that we'll be able to hit John Ross over the top for a TD during this game. -
It's not Doogin' to list how more things have to go well / right for the Huskies than the Ducks to win. Oregon has a significantly better / more experienced QB and is at home so it's not like we have a Heisman RB and 3 Outland watch-list OLs to ride on to victory. The less obvious, littler things like # of plays, taking care of the ball, winning special teams, and getting more hidden yardage is absolutely key to winning (and still important to covering).
I personally think some things will go well but not enough to win, which is why my crystal balls are saying Oregon wins 39-24...Oregon is 2-8 ATS as a double-digit favorite in their last 10 games but is 16-3 straight-up since Slingblade took over so I highly doubt Tequilla is taking the ML.Dennis_DeYoung said:The best part of this thread: When I entered it, Chrome told me it was in Greek and offered to translate it for me.
The worst part of this thread: insane dooging.
