I knew UW would win against Illinois because of this 1 fact
Whenever a lower-ranked team is listed as the favorite, they often end up covering the spread. This usually suggests that bookmakers have information or insights—such as undisclosed injuries or internal team issues—not yet reflected in public news or rankings.
For example, when Washington (UW) was favored by 3 points at game time, it indicated confidence from the oddsmakers, and UW ultimately covered and won.
This week, Texas is favored by 1 point against Vanderbilt, which suggests that Texas should win the game. Similarly, Utah is favored by 8½ points over Cincinnati, so Utah is expected to win as well.
Of course, this trend is not a guarantee that lower-ranked favorites will always win, but it often reveals that oddsmakers’ evaluations differ from public rankings and may more accurately reflect each team’s true strength.
Comments
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I’ll need to check with Chauncey Billups and Terry Rozier on this algorithm.
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I like USC to cover against Nebraska at Lincoln -6.5. Nebraska has major OL issues. USC DL is decent.
Nebraska looked as slow as Northwestern.
I would think Vanderbilt will defeat Tejas…Arch Manning is injured. Vandy can score fast. Tejas can't.
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