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I knew UW would win against Illinois because of this 1 fact

acwai
acwai Member Posts: 14
in Hardcore Husky Board

Whenever a lower-ranked team is listed as the favorite, they often end up covering the spread. This usually suggests that bookmakers have information or insights—such as undisclosed injuries or internal team issues—not yet reflected in public news or rankings.

For example, when Washington (UW) was favored by 3 points at game time, it indicated confidence from the oddsmakers, and UW ultimately covered and won.

This week, Texas is favored by 1 point against Vanderbilt, which suggests that Texas should win the game. Similarly, Utah is favored by 8½ points over Cincinnati, so Utah is expected to win as well.

Of course, this trend is not a guarantee that lower-ranked favorites will always win, but it often reveals that oddsmakers’ evaluations differ from public rankings and may more accurately reflect each team’s true strength.

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Comments

  • priapism
    priapism Member Posts: 2,389
    edited October 28

    I like USC to cover against Nebraska at Lincoln -6.5. Nebraska has major OL issues. USC DL is decent.
    Nebraska looked as slow as Northwestern.

    I would think Vanderbilt will defeat Tejas…Arch Manning is injured. Vandy can score fast. Tejas can't.


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  • TheHB
    TheHB Member Posts: 6,797

    Does it really matter if Manning is hurt? Texas is just another overrated Sark squad with no balls and little brain.

    And now that that's stated, they'll probably beat Vandy like a drum this week.

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  • acwai
    acwai Member Posts: 14

    I don’t bet on football games; I simply follow the Huskies.

    This simple algorithm correctly predicted the winners in all three games. At the time I posted this thread, Texas was favored by one point, and it accurately predicted the results against the spread as well.

    priapism - you lost the bet on the USC game!

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  • digits
    digits Member Posts: 1,850

    Derek, close the gates.

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  • Canadawg
    Canadawg Member Posts: 5,979

    Take your sport betting soft talk to Twitter or start a podcast noc

    Legal betting and integration into sports is the worst thing that's happened to modern sports and any propagation of it is contributing to the decline of integrity and enjoyment of the games/coverage

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