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Natty and NFL Division Rd Picks
greenblood
Member Posts: 14,523
greenblood
Member Posts: 14,523
Comments
Buckeyes -8
I'm in way too deep in this one (har dee har har) I've got Buckeyes -8, -5.5 first half, ND team total under 17.5, Howard with more passing yards than Leonard at -325. When alt lines come out, I'll be betting the -14.5 and -17.5. Ohio State played maybe their worst game of the season and beat Texas by 14. I could be wrong, but this smells like a mismatch blowout. 34-10 Buckeyes
Chiefs -8.5
Great win for the Texans in the Wild Card. Now reality hits. Chiefs could start slow, but the talent and coaching will eventually pull away. 27-10 Chiefs
Commanders +9.5
Lions defense has been leaky the last half of this season, and Daniels is legit. Washington also did a great job of clock control against the Bucs Sunday night. Even with Washington possibly milking clock, I still love the over 55. Both teams lead the NFL in 4th down attempts. So I expect a lot of scoring drives and even when stops occur, the opposing team should have advantageous field position. 35-31 Lions
Eagles -6
My favorite bet of the week behind the Buckeyes. The Rams just played their best game of the season on Monday night, so I expect a let down. The Eagles secondary should also be able to keep Kupp and Nacua in check. I will also alt line this at -14.5. 30-13 Eagles
Bills +1
I bet the Bills at -1.5, pick'em, and +1. Ravens may have the better roster, but it's Buffalo in January, and you have an absolute dawg in Josh Allen on the field. I think playoff Lamar shows up and Bills Mafia celebrate another playoff win before getting their hearts ripped out again by the Chiefs next week. 31-22 Bills
I'm in an odd high money fantasy league where we do the playoffs during the playoffs and you have to draft every week. I have the first pick because I won the regular season (three years running) and have no idea if I should take Allen or Lamar or one of the top skill position guys like Barkley/St. Brown/Henry. What do you think?
Agree with most of this, but laying 14.5 in a playoff game seems crazy to me.
"Ohio State played maybe their worst game of the season and beat Texas by 14."
Did you see the Michigan game????
@WoolleyDoog do not take a QB take a skill player like Barkley, if you haven't already.
it’s an alt line sprinkle.
how many teams in the playoff?
The number of teams impacts my first pick as taking a stud in a thinner position could be a league winning move, even if he’s not the highest scoring player overall.
That was more coaching than on the players. I don’t plan on seeing Day running it into the teeth of the def over and over again anymore
Especially how deep QB is on the playoffs
Allen, Hurts, Jackson, Daniels, Goff all top tier plays this week
Only Stafford, Stroud, and mahomes may be fantasy duds
8 team draft. Non snake. The commissioner is a dunce so for some reason QB TDs are six points so that does give me some pause when my usual MO is to just make sure I don’t get stuck with one of the duds.
If passing TDs are worth 6, take a QB, especially a QB like Allen or Jackson who are also running TD threats.