Natty and NFL Division Rd Picks
Comments
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Buckeyes -8
I'm in way too deep in this one (har dee har har) I've got Buckeyes -8, -5.5 first half, ND team total under 17.5, Howard with more passing yards than Leonard at -325. When alt lines come out, I'll be betting the -14.5 and -17.5. Ohio State played maybe their worst game of the season and beat Texas by 14. I could be wrong, but this smells like a mismatch blowout. 34-10 Buckeyes
Chiefs -8.5
Great win for the Texans in the Wild Card. Now reality hits. Chiefs could start slow, but the talent and coaching will eventually pull away. 27-10 Chiefs
Commanders +9.5
Lions defense has been leaky the last half of this season, and Daniels is legit. Washington also did a great job of clock control against the Bucs Sunday night. Even with Washington possibly milking clock, I still love the over 55. Both teams lead the NFL in 4th down attempts. So I expect a lot of scoring drives and even when stops occur, the opposing team should have advantageous field position. 35-31 Lions
Eagles -6
My favorite bet of the week behind the Buckeyes. The Rams just played their best game of the season on Monday night, so I expect a let down. The Eagles secondary should also be able to keep Kupp and Nacua in check. I will also alt line this at -14.5. 30-13 Eagles
Bills +1
I bet the Bills at -1.5, pick'em, and +1. Ravens may have the better roster, but it's Buffalo in January, and you have an absolute dawg in Josh Allen on the field. I think playoff Lamar shows up and Bills Mafia celebrate another playoff win before getting their hearts ripped out again by the Chiefs next week. 31-22 Bills
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I'm in an odd high money fantasy league where we do the playoffs during the playoffs and you have to draft every week. I have the first pick because I won the regular season (three years running) and have no idea if I should take Allen or Lamar or one of the top skill position guys like Barkley/St. Brown/Henry. What do you think?
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Agree with most of this, but laying 14.5 in a playoff game seems crazy to me.
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"Ohio State played maybe their worst game of the season and beat Texas by 14."
Did you see the Michigan game????
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@WoolleyDoog do not take a QB take a skill player like Barkley, if you haven't already.
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it’s an alt line sprinkle.
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how many teams in the playoff?
The number of teams impacts my first pick as taking a stud in a thinner position could be a league winning move, even if he’s not the highest scoring player overall.
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That was more coaching than on the players. I don’t plan on seeing Day running it into the teeth of the def over and over again anymore
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Especially how deep QB is on the playoffs
Allen, Hurts, Jackson, Daniels, Goff all top tier plays this week
Only Stafford, Stroud, and mahomes may be fantasy duds
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8 team draft. Non snake. The commissioner is a dunce so for some reason QB TDs are six points so that does give me some pause when my usual MO is to just make sure I don’t get stuck with one of the duds.
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If passing TDs are worth 6, take a QB, especially a QB like Allen or Jackson who are also running TD threats.
