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Jon Wilner on UW's soft, flaccid, cupcake, cream puff schedule

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Comments

  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680

    salemcoog said:

    CHRIST. Yet another pundit goes with the now cliché 11-1 with loss at The Farm. Come on mainstream college football media - do better! Everyone knows we aren't loosing to the Trees this year. They are overrated with a shitty ass and gimpy QB. Shaw gives you no in game advantage, etc, etc. It's 12-0 or 1 mind boggling upset loss to someone we aren't expecting to loose to- e.g., UCLA w/ 4th string QB ( @RaceBannon narrative ) or shitting the bed the in the dessert somehow to an illiterate coaching staff.
    http://www.mercurynews.com/2017/08/24/washington-football-projecting-the-season-game-by-game/

    And postscriptum to Boobs...

    image

    Ummm... This post wreaks of you stuck back in the time when both UW and WSU blew Stanford out last Season. After that they went 6-0 and played normal Stanford football. Nothing spectacular, they just didn't lose after they found the QB who should have started all of last Season.. Kind of like the USC did. You guys can win that game and even be favored, but to auto chalk that in the win column tells me you med to spend more tim on Football and less on shitty pole poasting.
    The fuck are you talking about? They lost to CU 2 weeks after loss to the Kewgs. Then then went on a hum, hum run that Sark would have gone 5-1 or 6-0 against. Big fucking deal. They are overrated. Sure, we could blow that one, but I think our loss/es are more likely elsewhere.
    This was the dreck they beat:

    Arizona
    Oregon State
    Oregon
    Cal
    Rice
    North Carolina
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,342 Founders Club
    edited August 2017
    tenndawg said:

    Whiskey swilling anti-Confederte historians and bumbling mathematicians- pay close attention


    Here's my odds:

    12-0 37%
    11-1 44.3%
    10-2. 5.1 %

    Total Record: 33-3
    Total Percent: 86.4%

    33-3 =30

    30 X 86.4 = 2592

    2592 is the correct answer

    Christ you're worse than me at Maff. You best stick to wearing a cheap seer suckersucker suit, defending pederasts in non air conditioned, backwoods Appalachia court rooms.
  • HuskyJW
    HuskyJW Member Posts: 15,316
    How the hell does this thread have 34 responses.
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    HuskyJW said:

    How the hell does this thread have 34 responses.

    Because you touch yourself while watching Marcus Mariota videos
  • dflea
    dflea Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 7,287 Swaye's Wigwam
    salemcooger just stopped by to fag out the thread.

    Success.
  • ntxduck
    ntxduck Member Posts: 6,145
    UW is -1 over Furd at the Westgate right now if you are into free money handouts. I hit that hard last weekend.

  • HuskyJW
    HuskyJW Member Posts: 15,316

    HuskyJW said:

    How the hell does this thread have 34 responses.

    Because you touch yourself while watching Marcus Mariota videos
    Whoa.....Is the camera on my laptop turned on??
  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter

    89ute said:

    Mosster47 said:

    The conference overall is going to be a lot better. The three high school games before conference play is helpful though.

    I see 10-2 for the Doogs.

    I think OSU, UCLA and UO will all be harder outs than last year, but I also think we? are a better team than last year. The way I see it is:

    10-2 - 25%
    11- 1 - 50%
    12-0 - 25%
    I put your 12-0 much higher. If yooze have a loss, it's a WTF loss. Pete built his career at Boise avoiding WTF losses. It would not shock me if Pete has more undefeated seasons than any other coach. (this is a good question by the way)

    Pete knows how to run the table against inferior competition.
    A WTF loss like Boise's shit kicker shitting the bed against Reno? How's Vizcaino looking?
    Kicker shit the bed for sure, but I don't think I'd call that a WTF loss. That was Kappy senior year, they had two good RBs and a better-than-it-should-have-been defense. BSU have ever chance to win but it just a great football game. WTF was Nevada losing to Hawaii or some shit that year.
  • Gladstone
    Gladstone Member Posts: 16,419
    Yeah that Nevada team was good and Kaep was playing out of his mind and it still took massive multiple choke jobs by kicker to lose
  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,106

    89ute said:

    Mosster47 said:

    The conference overall is going to be a lot better. The three high school games before conference play is helpful though.

    I see 10-2 for the Doogs.

    I think OSU, UCLA and UO will all be harder outs than last year, but I also think we? are a better team than last year. The way I see it is:

    10-2 - 25%
    11- 1 - 50%
    12-0 - 25%
    I put your 12-0 much higher. If yooze have a loss, it's a WTF loss. Pete built his career at Boise avoiding WTF losses. It would not shock me if Pete has more undefeated seasons than any other coach. (this is a good question by the way)

    Pete knows how to run the table against inferior competition.
    Apologies in advance for injecting some MAFF into the discussion but a 25% chance of going undefeated over a 12 game schedule is extremely high.

    UW would basically need to be >95% favorites in every single game.

    .96^12=.69

    Small probabilities accumulate over 12 games.

    Then throw in a couple games where UW is less than 66% to win and it is pretty much impossible to get to 25%.
    Somewhere in the 15% range feels about right to me
  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,106
    ntxduck said:

    UW is -1 over Furd at the Westgate right now if you are into free money handouts. I hit that hard last weekend.

    For those looking to bet the mortgage ... that's a very appealing option if you are of the belief that it's hard to beat the Death Row Dawgs defense without a QB
  • ntxduck
    ntxduck Member Posts: 6,145
    Tequilla said:

    ntxduck said:

    UW is -1 over Furd at the Westgate right now if you are into free money handouts. I hit that hard last weekend.

    For those looking to bet the mortgage ... that's a very appealing option if you are of the belief that it's hard to beat the Death Row Dawgs defense without a QB
    The speed difference between UW and Stanford was unreal last year...I have a hard time believing Stanford closed even 20% of that gap in the offseason. May be close for a half, but UW will pull away to win rather easily, say, 34-17?
  • FremontTroll
    FremontTroll Member Posts: 4,744
    You guys I screwed up 5th grade maff. I suck. Ignore me.
  • FireCohen
    FireCohen Member Posts: 21,823
    edited August 2017
    89ute said:

    89ute said:

    Mosster47 said:

    The conference overall is going to be a lot better. The three high school games before conference play is helpful though.

    I see 10-2 for the Doogs.

    I think OSU, UCLA and UO will all be harder outs than last year, but I also think we? are a better team than last year. The way I see it is:

    10-2 - 25%
    11- 1 - 50%
    12-0 - 25%
    I put your 12-0 much higher. If yooze have a loss, it's a WTF loss. Pete built his career at Boise avoiding WTF losses. It would not shock me if Pete has more undefeated seasons than any other coach. (this is a good question by the way)

    Pete knows how to run the table against inferior competition.
    Apologies in advance for injecting some MAFF into the discussion but a 25% chance of going undefeated over a 12 game schedule is extremely high.

    UW would basically need to be >95% favorites in every single game.

    .96^12=.69

    Small probabilities accumulate over 12 games.

    Then throw in a couple games where UW is less than 66% to win and it is pretty much impossible to get to 25%.
    Here, lemme help:

    image

    = real fucking high probability of 12-0
    i need roaddawg to verify the math.
  • Swaye
    Swaye Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 41,739 Founders Club

    tenndawg said:

    Whiskey swilling anti-Confederte historians and bumbling mathematicians- pay close attention


    Here's my odds:

    12-0 37%
    11-1 44.3%
    10-2. 5.1 %

    Total Record: 33-3
    Total Percent: 86.4%

    33-3 =30

    30 X 86.4 = 2592

    2592 is the correct answer

    Christ you're worse than me at Maff. You best stick to wearing a cheap seer suckersucker suit, defending pederasts in non air conditioned, backwoods Appalachia court rooms.
    Coker deserves a good defense.
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,342 Founders Club
    Swaye said:

    tenndawg said:

    Whiskey swilling anti-Confederte historians and bumbling mathematicians- pay close attention


    Here's my odds:

    12-0 37%
    11-1 44.3%
    10-2. 5.1 %

    Total Record: 33-3
    Total Percent: 86.4%

    33-3 =30

    30 X 86.4 = 2592

    2592 is the correct answer

    Christ you're worse than me at Maff. You best stick to wearing a cheap seer suckersucker suit, defending pederasts in non air conditioned, backwoods Appalachia court rooms.
    Coker deserves a good defense.
    @tenndawg as general counsel for the TSIO is over. Love it!
  • AZDuck
    AZDuck Member Posts: 15,381