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Jon Wilner on UW's soft, flaccid, cupcake, cream puff schedule

2

Comments

  • FremontTrollFremontTroll Member Posts: 4,744

    Where are you getting the bc numbers? I didn't read the article. Or is this a tbs board thing
    From the most recent TSIO pod:

    Active 4*+ on rosters:

    WSU: 3
    OSU: 3
    CAL: 6
    Colorado: 6
    Utah: 7
    Arizona: 8
    Oregon: 24
    Arizona State: 25
    UW: 28
    Stanford: 31
    UCLA: 46
    USC: 55

  • YellowSnowYellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,187 Founders Club

    Apologies in advance for injecting some MAFF into the discussion but a 25% chance of going undefeated over a 12 game schedule is extremely high.

    UW would basically need to be >95% favorites in every single game.

    .96^12=.69

    Small probabilities accumulate over 12 games.

    Then throw in a couple games where UW is less than 66% to win and it is pretty much impossible to get to 25%.
    Figures. I do history. Maff...not so much.
  • FremontTrollFremontTroll Member Posts: 4,744
    Disregard my above positing. I apparently suck at math. Someone else can figure it out.
  • Pitchfork51Pitchfork51 Member Posts: 27,649
    edited August 2017

    From the most recent TSIO pod:
    Ah thanks

    I just don't care about oregon state or wsu because they aren't in my division

    Cal is just stupid. Too high.
  • KaepskneeKaepsknee Member Posts: 14,913
    edited August 2017

    CHRIST. Yet another pundit goes with the now cliché 11-1 with loss at The Farm. Come on mainstream college football media - do better! Everyone knows we aren't loosing to the Trees this year. They are overrated with a shitty ass and gimpy QB. Shaw gives you no in game advantage, etc, etc. It's 12-0 or 1 mind boggling upset loss to someone we aren't expecting to loose to- e.g., UCLA w/ 4th string QB ( @RaceBannon narrative ) or shitting the bed the in the dessert somehow to an illiterate coaching staff.
    http://www.mercurynews.com/2017/08/24/washington-football-projecting-the-season-game-by-game/

    And postscriptum to Boobs...

    image

    Ummm... This post wreaks of you stuck back in the time when both UW and WSU blew Stanford out last Season. After that they went 6-0 and played normal Stanford football. Nothing spectacular, they just didn't lose after they found the QB who should have started all of last Season.. Kind of like the USC did. You guys can win that game and even be favored, but to auto chalk that in the win column tells me you med to spend more tim on Football and less on shitty pole poasting.
  • KaepskneeKaepsknee Member Posts: 14,913

    From the most recent TSIO pod:
    Sans OSU and Cal the bottom of the 4 star bucket finished better than everyone else but SC and UW in the conference.


    But how are star ratings a useless predictor of success????


  • YellowSnowYellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,187 Founders Club
    edited August 2017
    salemcoog said:

    Sans OSU and Cal the bottom of the 4 star bucket finished better than everyone else but SC and UW in the conference.


    But how are star ratings a useless predictor of success????


    True that on the bottom run schools. And for that matter neither of the top 2 talent schools have won the conference since 2008. But that talent spread between Oregon, Stanford and UW by (useless) star ratings and the non conference winning bottom feeders has still be significant. And no school as gotten anywhere near winning a natty in the past 20 years without having consistently elite recruiting rankings save for Climpson (i.e., only 40 BC's on their 2016 roster).
  • TierbsHsotBoobsTierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680

    The fuck are you talking about? They lost to CU 2 weeks after loss to the Kewgs. Then then went on a hum, hum run that Sark would have gone 5-1 or 6-0 against. Big fucking deal. They are overrated. Sure, we could blow that one, but I think our loss/es are more likely elsewhere.
    This was the dreck they beat:

    Arizona
    Oregon State
    Oregon
    Cal
    Rice
    North Carolina
  • YellowSnowYellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,187 Founders Club
    edited August 2017
    tenndawg said:

    Whiskey swilling anti-Confederte historians and bumbling mathematicians- pay close attention


    Here's my odds:

    12-0 37%
    11-1 44.3%
    10-2. 5.1 %

    Total Record: 33-3
    Total Percent: 86.4%

    33-3 =30

    30 X 86.4 = 2592

    2592 is the correct answer

    Christ you're worse than me at Maff. You best stick to wearing a cheap seer suckersucker suit, defending pederasts in non air conditioned, backwoods Appalachia court rooms.
  • HuskyJWHuskyJW Member Posts: 15,235
    How the hell does this thread have 34 responses.
  • TierbsHsotBoobsTierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    HuskyJW said:

    How the hell does this thread have 34 responses.

    Because you touch yourself while watching Marcus Mariota videos
  • dfleadflea Member Posts: 7,286
    salemcooger just stopped by to fag out the thread.

    Success.
  • ntxduckntxduck Member Posts: 6,079
    UW is -1 over Furd at the Westgate right now if you are into free money handouts. I hit that hard last weekend.

  • HuskyJWHuskyJW Member Posts: 15,235

    Because you touch yourself while watching Marcus Mariota videos
    Whoa.....Is the camera on my laptop turned on??
  • GrundleStiltzkinGrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter

    A WTF loss like Boise's shit kicker shitting the bed against Reno? How's Vizcaino looking?
    Kicker shit the bed for sure, but I don't think I'd call that a WTF loss. That was Kappy senior year, they had two good RBs and a better-than-it-should-have-been defense. BSU have ever chance to win but it just a great football game. WTF was Nevada losing to Hawaii or some shit that year.
  • GladstoneGladstone Member Posts: 16,419
    Yeah that Nevada team was good and Kaep was playing out of his mind and it still took massive multiple choke jobs by kicker to lose
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