Jon Wilner on UW's soft, flaccid, cupcake, cream puff schedule
http://www.mercurynews.com/2017/08/24/washington-football-projecting-the-season-game-by-game/
And postscriptum to Boobs...
Comments
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Doesn't Wilner suck Duck cock?
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Wow, @Pitchfork51 true??!!?
With 25 blue chips on the roster yielding one conference win? I'm not buying that ASU is this bad. I also think Manny Wilkins is a decent QB (keep in mind my point of reference) as long as he stops hurdling people. -
ASU sucks but they do have more BC's on their roster than any of the other shitty teams in the conference, and they have a bye to prepare, and we suck in he desert, blah, blah, blah.89ute said:Wow, @Pitchfork51 true??!!?
With 25 blue chips on the roster yielding one conference win? I'm not buying that ASU is this bad. I also think Manny Wilkins is a decent QB (keep in mind my point of reference) as long as he stops hurdling people. -
The conference overall is going to be a lot better. The three high school games before conference play is helpful though.
I see 10-2 for the Doogs. -
I think OSU, UCLA and UO will all be harder outs than last year, but I also think we? are a better team than last year. The way I see it is:Mosster47 said:The conference overall is going to be a lot better. The three high school games before conference play is helpful though.
I see 10-2 for the Doogs.
10-2 - 25%
11- 1 - 50%
12-0 - 25% -
I put your 12-0 much higher. If yooze have a loss, it's a WTF loss. Pete built his career at Boise avoiding WTF losses. It would not shock me if Pete has more undefeated seasons than any other coach. (this is a good question by the way)YellowSnow said:
I think OSU, UCLA and UO will all be harder outs than last year, but I also think we? are a better team than last year. The way I see it is:Mosster47 said:The conference overall is going to be a lot better. The three high school games before conference play is helpful though.
I see 10-2 for the Doogs.
10-2 - 25%
11- 1 - 50%
12-0 - 25%
Pete knows how to run the table against inferior competition. -
Looks like he's only had 3 (conference only) undefeated seasons. Less than I thought, but still.89ute said:
I put your 12-0 much higher. If yooze have a loss, it's a WTF loss. Pete built his career at Boise avoiding WTF losses. It would not shock me if Pete has more undefeated seasons than any other coach. (this is a good question by the way)YellowSnow said:
I think OSU, UCLA and UO will all be harder outs than last year, but I also think we? are a better team than last year. The way I see it is:Mosster47 said:The conference overall is going to be a lot better. The three high school games before conference play is helpful though.
I see 10-2 for the Doogs.
10-2 - 25%
11- 1 - 50%
12-0 - 25%
Pete knows how to run the table against inferior competition.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chris_Petersen -
He has as much experience as any coach running the table against shitty competition, but there still were plenty of 1 loss that had let down games against Nevada, SDSU, TCU, etc. But sill, his culture improves the odds of taking care of business against teams you should beat.89ute said:
Looks like he's only had 3 (conference only) undefeated seasons. Less than I thought, but still.89ute said:
I put your 12-0 much higher. If yooze have a loss, it's a WTF loss. Pete built his career at Boise avoiding WTF losses. It would not shock me if Pete has more undefeated seasons than any other coach. (this is a good question by the way)YellowSnow said:
I think OSU, UCLA and UO will all be harder outs than last year, but I also think we? are a better team than last year. The way I see it is:Mosster47 said:The conference overall is going to be a lot better. The three high school games before conference play is helpful though.
I see 10-2 for the Doogs.
10-2 - 25%
11- 1 - 50%
12-0 - 25%
Pete knows how to run the table against inferior competition.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chris_Petersen -
When the fuck did UCLA get a oline? They have the highest ceiling, but they can't protect their QB.YellowSnow said:
I think OSU, UCLA and UO will all be harder outs than last year, but I also think we? are a better team than last year. The way I see it is:Mosster47 said:The conference overall is going to be a lot better. The three high school games before conference play is helpful though.
I see 10-2 for the Doogs.
10-2 - 25%
11- 1 - 50%
12-0 - 25% -
"The Huskies, meanwhile, commit a spate of mental errors."
How many Petersen teams commit a large number of mental errors in one game? -
We going to lose 1-2 games due to kicking
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...and/or Babushka.WeakarmCobra said:We going to lose 1-2 games due to kicking
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Guess we'll have to either be a go for it on 4th down or Jake pooch punt sort of team in 2017.WeakarmCobra said:We going to lose 1-2 games due to kicking
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Are pooch field goals legal in college football?YellowSnow said:
Guess we'll have to either be a go for it on 4th down or Jake pooch punt sort of team in 2017.WeakarmCobra said:We going to lose 1-2 games due to kicking
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Honestly I don't fucking know.89ute said:Wow, @Pitchfork51 true??!!?
With 25 blue chips on the roster yielding one conference win? I'm not buying that ASU is this bad. I also think Manny Wilkins is a decent QB (keep in mind my point of reference) as long as he stops hurdling people.
It really comes down to generally recruiting well except the travesty that is our defensive backfield.
Add in being on our 4th string qb by game 5 and Graham meddling on every play on d and you have the disaster that was last year.
Really though last year wasn't the issue. We always knew it would be shit. It was 2015. That team should have won 9 and fucked up bad.
Either we have a good season or we don't and get a new coach.
I can't accept ever losing to fucking colorado, Utah (sorry but fuck you), or u of a.
Ewiwbi -
Yes...legal kick. The ball just has to hit the ground before kicking it.WeakarmCobra said:
Are pooch field goals legal in college football?YellowSnow said:
Guess we'll have to either be a go for it on 4th down or Jake pooch punt sort of team in 2017.WeakarmCobra said:We going to lose 1-2 games due to kicking
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You shouldn't accept losing to any single digit blue chip count school. Add OSU, Cal and WSU to your list.Pitchfork51 said:
Honestly I don't fucking know.89ute said:Wow, @Pitchfork51 true??!!?
With 25 blue chips on the roster yielding one conference win? I'm not buying that ASU is this bad. I also think Manny Wilkins is a decent QB (keep in mind my point of reference) as long as he stops hurdling people.
It really comes down to generally recruiting well except the travesty that is our defensive backfield.
Add in being on our 4th string qb by game 5 and Graham meddling on every play on d and you have the disaster that was last year.
Really though last year wasn't the issue. We always knew it would be shit. It was 2015. That team should have won 9 and fucked up bad.
Either we have a good season or we don't and get a new coach.
I can't accept ever losing to fucking colorado, Utah (sorry but fuck you), or u of a.
Ewiwbi
I'm surprised Erickson didn't do better than he did. I assume ASU still had double digit BCs then too? -
Apologies in advance for injecting some MAFF into the discussion but a 25% chance of going undefeated over a 12 game schedule is extremely high.89ute said:
I put your 12-0 much higher. If yooze have a loss, it's a WTF loss. Pete built his career at Boise avoiding WTF losses. It would not shock me if Pete has more undefeated seasons than any other coach. (this is a good question by the way)YellowSnow said:
I think OSU, UCLA and UO will all be harder outs than last year, but I also think we? are a better team than last year. The way I see it is:Mosster47 said:The conference overall is going to be a lot better. The three high school games before conference play is helpful though.
I see 10-2 for the Doogs.
10-2 - 25%
11- 1 - 50%
12-0 - 25%
Pete knows how to run the table against inferior competition.
UW would basically need to be >95% favorites in every single game.
.96^12=.69
Small probabilities accumulate over 12 games.
Then throw in a couple games where UW is less than 66% to win and it is pretty much impossible to get to 25%. -
Where are you getting the bc numbers? I didn't read the article. Or is this a tbs board thing89ute said:
You shouldn't accept losing to any single digit blue chip count school. Add OSU, Cal and WSU to your list.Pitchfork51 said:
Honestly I don't fucking know.89ute said:Wow, @Pitchfork51 true??!!?
With 25 blue chips on the roster yielding one conference win? I'm not buying that ASU is this bad. I also think Manny Wilkins is a decent QB (keep in mind my point of reference) as long as he stops hurdling people.
It really comes down to generally recruiting well except the travesty that is our defensive backfield.
Add in being on our 4th string qb by game 5 and Graham meddling on every play on d and you have the disaster that was last year.
Really though last year wasn't the issue. We always knew it would be shit. It was 2015. That team should have won 9 and fucked up bad.
Either we have a good season or we don't and get a new coach.
I can't accept ever losing to fucking colorado, Utah (sorry but fuck you), or u of a.
Ewiwbi
I'm surprised Erickson didn't do better than he did. I assume ASU still had double digit BCs then too? -
From the most recent TSIO pod:Pitchfork51 said:
Where are you getting the bc numbers? I didn't read the article. Or is this a tbs board thing89ute said:
You shouldn't accept losing to any single digit blue chip count school. Add OSU, Cal and WSU to your list.Pitchfork51 said:
Honestly I don't fucking know.89ute said:Wow, @Pitchfork51 true??!!?
With 25 blue chips on the roster yielding one conference win? I'm not buying that ASU is this bad. I also think Manny Wilkins is a decent QB (keep in mind my point of reference) as long as he stops hurdling people.
It really comes down to generally recruiting well except the travesty that is our defensive backfield.
Add in being on our 4th string qb by game 5 and Graham meddling on every play on d and you have the disaster that was last year.
Really though last year wasn't the issue. We always knew it would be shit. It was 2015. That team should have won 9 and fucked up bad.
Either we have a good season or we don't and get a new coach.
I can't accept ever losing to fucking colorado, Utah (sorry but fuck you), or u of a.
Ewiwbi
I'm surprised Erickson didn't do better than he did. I assume ASU still had double digit BCs then too?CokeGreaterThanPepsi said:Active 4*+ on rosters:
WSU: 3
OSU: 3
CAL: 6
Colorado: 6
Utah: 7
Arizona: 8
Oregon: 24
Arizona State: 25
UW: 28
Stanford: 31
UCLA: 46
USC: 55 -
Figures. I do history. Maff...not so much.FremontTroll said:
Apologies in advance for injecting some MAFF into the discussion but a 25% chance of going undefeated over a 12 game schedule is extremely high.89ute said:
I put your 12-0 much higher. If yooze have a loss, it's a WTF loss. Pete built his career at Boise avoiding WTF losses. It would not shock me if Pete has more undefeated seasons than any other coach. (this is a good question by the way)YellowSnow said:
I think OSU, UCLA and UO will all be harder outs than last year, but I also think we? are a better team than last year. The way I see it is:Mosster47 said:The conference overall is going to be a lot better. The three high school games before conference play is helpful though.
I see 10-2 for the Doogs.
10-2 - 25%
11- 1 - 50%
12-0 - 25%
Pete knows how to run the table against inferior competition.
UW would basically need to be >95% favorites in every single game.
.96^12=.69
Small probabilities accumulate over 12 games.
Then throw in a couple games where UW is less than 66% to win and it is pretty much impossible to get to 25%. -
Disregard my above positing. I apparently suck at math. Someone else can figure it out.
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Ah thanksFremontTroll said:
From the most recent TSIO pod:Pitchfork51 said:
Where are you getting the bc numbers? I didn't read the article. Or is this a tbs board thing89ute said:
You shouldn't accept losing to any single digit blue chip count school. Add OSU, Cal and WSU to your list.Pitchfork51 said:
Honestly I don't fucking know.89ute said:Wow, @Pitchfork51 true??!!?
With 25 blue chips on the roster yielding one conference win? I'm not buying that ASU is this bad. I also think Manny Wilkins is a decent QB (keep in mind my point of reference) as long as he stops hurdling people.
It really comes down to generally recruiting well except the travesty that is our defensive backfield.
Add in being on our 4th string qb by game 5 and Graham meddling on every play on d and you have the disaster that was last year.
Really though last year wasn't the issue. We always knew it would be shit. It was 2015. That team should have won 9 and fucked up bad.
Either we have a good season or we don't and get a new coach.
I can't accept ever losing to fucking colorado, Utah (sorry but fuck you), or u of a.
Ewiwbi
I'm surprised Erickson didn't do better than he did. I assume ASU still had double digit BCs then too?CokeGreaterThanPepsi said:Active 4*+ on rosters:
WSU: 3
OSU: 3
CAL: 6
Colorado: 6
Utah: 7
Arizona: 8
Oregon: 24
Arizona State: 25
UW: 28
Stanford: 31
UCLA: 46
USC: 55
I just don't care about oregon state or wsu because they aren't in my division
Cal is just stupid. Too high. -
Ummm... This post wreaks of you stuck back in the time when both UW and WSU blew Stanford out last Season. After that they went 6-0 and played normal Stanford football. Nothing spectacular, they just didn't lose after they found the QB who should have started all of last Season.. Kind of like the USC did. You guys can win that game and even be favored, but to auto chalk that in the win column tells me you med to spend more tim on Football and less on shitty pole poasting.YellowSnow said:CHRIST. Yet another pundit goes with the now cliché 11-1 with loss at The Farm. Come on mainstream college football media - do better! Everyone knows we aren't loosing to the Trees this year. They are overrated with a shitty ass and gimpy QB. Shaw gives you no in game advantage, etc, etc. It's 12-0 or 1 mind boggling upset loss to someone we aren't expecting to loose to- e.g., UCLA w/ 4th string QB ( @RaceBannon narrative ) or shitting the bed the in the dessert somehow to an illiterate coaching staff.
http://www.mercurynews.com/2017/08/24/washington-football-projecting-the-season-game-by-game/
And postscriptum to Boobs... -
The fuck are you talking about? They lost to CU 2 weeks after loss to the Kewgs. Then then went on a hum, hum run that Sark would have gone 5-1 or 6-0 against. Big fucking deal. They are overrated. Sure, we could blow that one, but I think our loss/es are more likely elsewhere.salemcoog said:
Ummm... This post wreaks of you stuck back in the time when both UW and WSU blew Stanford out last Season. After that they went 6-0 and played normal Stanford football. Nothing spectacular, they just didn't lose after they found the QB who should have started all of last Season.. Kind of like the USC did. You guys can win that game and even be favored, but to auto chalk that in the win column tells me you med to spend more tim on Football and less on shitty pole poasting.YellowSnow said:CHRIST. Yet another pundit goes with the now cliché 11-1 with loss at The Farm. Come on mainstream college football media - do better! Everyone knows we aren't loosing to the Trees this year. They are overrated with a shitty ass and gimpy QB. Shaw gives you no in game advantage, etc, etc. It's 12-0 or 1 mind boggling upset loss to someone we aren't expecting to loose to- e.g., UCLA w/ 4th string QB ( @RaceBannon narrative ) or shitting the bed the in the dessert somehow to an illiterate coaching staff.
http://www.mercurynews.com/2017/08/24/washington-football-projecting-the-season-game-by-game/
And postscriptum to Boobs... -
Sans OSU and Cal the bottom of the 4 star bucket finished better than everyone else but SC and UW in the conference.FremontTroll said:
From the most recent TSIO pod:Pitchfork51 said:
Where are you getting the bc numbers? I didn't read the article. Or is this a tbs board thing89ute said:
You shouldn't accept losing to any single digit blue chip count school. Add OSU, Cal and WSU to your list.Pitchfork51 said:
Honestly I don't fucking know.89ute said:Wow, @Pitchfork51 true??!!?
With 25 blue chips on the roster yielding one conference win? I'm not buying that ASU is this bad. I also think Manny Wilkins is a decent QB (keep in mind my point of reference) as long as he stops hurdling people.
It really comes down to generally recruiting well except the travesty that is our defensive backfield.
Add in being on our 4th string qb by game 5 and Graham meddling on every play on d and you have the disaster that was last year.
Really though last year wasn't the issue. We always knew it would be shit. It was 2015. That team should have won 9 and fucked up bad.
Either we have a good season or we don't and get a new coach.
I can't accept ever losing to fucking colorado, Utah (sorry but fuck you), or u of a.
Ewiwbi
I'm surprised Erickson didn't do better than he did. I assume ASU still had double digit BCs then too?CokeGreaterThanPepsi said:Active 4*+ on rosters:
WSU: 3
OSU: 3
CAL: 6
Colorado: 6
Utah: 7
Arizona: 8
Oregon: 24
Arizona State: 25
UW: 28
Stanford: 31
UCLA: 46
USC: 55
But how are star ratings a useless predictor of success????
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True that on the bottom run schools. And for that matter neither of the top 2 talent schools have won the conference since 2008. But that talent spread between Oregon, Stanford and UW by (useless) star ratings and the non conference winning bottom feeders has still be significant. And no school as gotten anywhere near winning a natty in the past 20 years without having consistently elite recruiting rankings save for Climpson (i.e., only 40 BC's on their 2016 roster).salemcoog said:
Sans OSU and Cal the bottom of the 4 star bucket finished better than everyone else but SC and UW in the conference.FremontTroll said:
From the most recent TSIO pod:Pitchfork51 said:
Where are you getting the bc numbers? I didn't read the article. Or is this a tbs board thing89ute said:
You shouldn't accept losing to any single digit blue chip count school. Add OSU, Cal and WSU to your list.Pitchfork51 said:
Honestly I don't fucking know.89ute said:Wow, @Pitchfork51 true??!!?
With 25 blue chips on the roster yielding one conference win? I'm not buying that ASU is this bad. I also think Manny Wilkins is a decent QB (keep in mind my point of reference) as long as he stops hurdling people.
It really comes down to generally recruiting well except the travesty that is our defensive backfield.
Add in being on our 4th string qb by game 5 and Graham meddling on every play on d and you have the disaster that was last year.
Really though last year wasn't the issue. We always knew it would be shit. It was 2015. That team should have won 9 and fucked up bad.
Either we have a good season or we don't and get a new coach.
I can't accept ever losing to fucking colorado, Utah (sorry but fuck you), or u of a.
Ewiwbi
I'm surprised Erickson didn't do better than he did. I assume ASU still had double digit BCs then too?CokeGreaterThanPepsi said:Active 4*+ on rosters:
WSU: 3
OSU: 3
CAL: 6
Colorado: 6
Utah: 7
Arizona: 8
Oregon: 24
Arizona State: 25
UW: 28
Stanford: 31
UCLA: 46
USC: 55
But how are star ratings a useless predictor of success???? -
A WTF loss like Boise's shit kicker shitting the bed against Reno? How's Vizcaino looking?89ute said:
I put your 12-0 much higher. If yooze have a loss, it's a WTF loss. Pete built his career at Boise avoiding WTF losses. It would not shock me if Pete has more undefeated seasons than any other coach. (this is a good question by the way)YellowSnow said:
I think OSU, UCLA and UO will all be harder outs than last year, but I also think we? are a better team than last year. The way I see it is:Mosster47 said:The conference overall is going to be a lot better. The three high school games before conference play is helpful though.
I see 10-2 for the Doogs.
10-2 - 25%
11- 1 - 50%
12-0 - 25%
Pete knows how to run the table against inferior competition. -
Whiskey swilling anti-Confederte historians and bumbling mathematicians- pay close attention
Here's my odds:
12-0 37%
11-1 44.3%
10-2. 5.1 %
Total Record: 33-3
Total Percent: 86.4%
33-3 =30
30 X 86.4 = 2592
2592 is the correct answer
https://youtu.be/-uv_WGEHr4I
