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Just Passing Along What I'm Hearing (NERD EDITION)

ESPN released their metrics (FPI) shit today for CFB... Pac12 Results:

UW: projected to win 9.2 games, 2nd best chance to win the conference at 23.4% (Behind USC at 30.4%)

USC: 8.2 wins
UCLA: 8.2
Stanford: 7.8
Arizona: 7.3
Oregon: 7.3
Utah: 6.7
WSU: 6.6
ASU: 5.7
CAL: 5.1 (Still too high)
Colorado: 4.7
Oregon State: 3.8

espn.go.com/college-football/statistics/teamratings/_/sort/projectedWPct

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Comments

  • Member Posts: 30,128
    Damn. Can't lie, I'm surprised.
  • Member Posts: 20,098

    Damn. Can't lie, I'm surprised.

    I'm not surprised that you're surprised since you are the ultimate nega doog.

    You have to be carrying a lot of scar tissue and pessimism to not see where this team has a chance to be really good next year.
  • Member Posts: 20,098

    I have masturbated to this three times in the last 20 minutes. The crash down to earth when we play Arizona in the 4th game of the year is probably going to kill me. So we all have that to look forward to.

    The TSIO podcast will look forward to announcing its new and improved lineup in early October
  • Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    Not meaning to piss on @HeretoBeatmyChest's still-cooling corpse, but what possible validity can there be in these metrics 5 months before a game is played?
  • Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club
    edited April 2016
    I always found it interesting how metrics said we had a GREAT defense last year. Well, we still went 7-6 so that right there is an argument that the coach sucks and isn't who we thought.

    I'm staying pessimistic because Pete hasn't accomplished anything yet and it's the way he lost some of those games. Not encouraging, but I'm not saying he should be gone yet. I'll give him this year, but he better win the division.
  • Member Posts: 1,958

    I have masturbated to this three times in the last 20 minutes. The crash down to earth when we play Arizona in the 4th game of the year is probably going to kill me. So we all have that to look forward to.

    Doogles said:

    At the very least, we can put the Doog excuse of youth to rest. If Petersen is who we want him to be, Year 3 needs to be special.

    The built in excuse for the remaining Doogs is that we're too young in year 3, but that year 4 might be a step back because of early departures defensively. Puppy championed this idea in earlier threads.

    There is some validity that the D might take a step back if there is a mass exodus, but the team as a whole will be much stronger. Either way, this is the year the offense needs to click. There are no more excuses.

    Can't expect a team to win when they are getting this much pre-season hype.
  • Member Posts: 14,913
    Tequilla said:

    I'm not surprised that you're surprised since you are the ultimate nega doog.

    You have to be carrying a lot of scar tissue and pessimism to not see where this team has a chance to be really good next year.
    I think you're forgetting how young these Huskies are.


    And how they inevitably shit the bed when any expectations of contention are raised.
  • Member Posts: 13,325
    Tequilla said:

    I'm not surprised that you're surprised since you are the ultimate nega doog.

    You have to be carrying a lot of scar tissue and pessimism to not see where this team has a chance to be really good next year.
    Where have we heard this before???
  • Member Posts: 56,839
    I suppose there's a c) option as well - you don't gaf about winning.
  • Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club
    I'm calling 8-5 (4-5). PROVE me wrong.
  • Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    Fuck off Rubinstein, we can mock ourselves just fine.
  • Member Posts: 7,646
    dnc said:

    FPI is shit and you're all fags

    If you notice the tag, I specifically said, "Bitch don't kill my vibe".... ASSHOLE
  • Member Posts: 56,839

    If you notice the tag, I specifically said, "Bitch don't kill my vibe".... ASSHOLE
    Tags are for fags " ;) "
  • Member Posts: 20,098
    PurpleJ said:

    I always found it interesting how metrics said we had a GREAT defense last year. Well, we still went 7-6 so that right there is an argument that the coach sucks and isn't who we thought.

    If you are holding teams to 18-19 points a game in today's world of college football, you are going to win a lot of football games.

    We lost a number of close games last year due to youth on offense, lack of outside playmakers on offense, and Smith sucking for large portions of the season.

    The defense wasn't the problem.
  • Member Posts: 20,098
    dnc said:

    If you're not carrying a lot of scar tissue at this point you either a) haven't been a UW fan for the past 15 years or b) you're too stupid to realize how this program has been raped year after year by it's own malicious administrative incompetence.

    I agree there are some reasons to be optimistic. But we suck until we don't. Right now we suck.
    Or c) I'm looking at this objectively and see the pieces in place.

    I said going back to last year that I saw a lot of similarities between 2012-2013 TCU and 2014-2015 UW.

    I expect a very sizable breakout in the 2016 season.
  • Member Posts: 20,098
    PurpleJ said:

    I'm calling 8-5 (4-5). PROVE me wrong.

    LIPO ... you'll be proven wrong barring a major injury to Browning.
  • Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club
    Tequilla said:

    If you are holding teams to 18-19 points a game in today's world of college football, you are going to win a lot of football games.

    We lost a number of close games last year due to youth on offense, lack of outside playmakers on offense, and Smith sucking for large portions of the season.

    The defense wasn't the problem.
    We had a good defense last year. I've admitted it. Not great. Good. I started trolling Chest and a few others last year when they told me that advanced metrics said our defense was GREAT after we lost at home to Cal.

    The point is that if you can't do better than 4-5 in conference with that defense, you might have the wrong coach.
  • Member Posts: 56,839
    Tequilla said:

    Or c) I'm looking at this objectively and see the pieces in place.

    I said going back to last year that I saw a lot of similarities between 2012-2013 TCU and 2014-2015 UW.

    I expect a very sizable breakout in the 2016 season.
    I hope you're right. You may well be. But if you're not carrying a lot of scar tissue I just don't understand how.
  • Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club
    Tequilla said:

    LIPO ... you'll be proven wrong barring a major injury to Browning.
    Okay. I hope they prove me wrong. It will be interesting either way. That's why we play the games.
  • Member Posts: 56,839
    PurpleJ said:

    We had a good defense last year. I've admitted it. Not great. Good. I started trolling Chest and a few others last year when they told me that advanced metrics said our defense was GREAT after we lost at home to Cal.

    The point is that if you can't do better than 4-5 in conference with that defense, you might have the wrong coach.
    Mostly. You actually started trolling at halftime in the Cal game thread response to everyone who said how lucky we were that our defense showed up in the first half since our offense tried to put us down by 50.

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