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Seahawks -7.5 at Arizona
SteveInShelton
Member Posts: 1,611
:-O
That seems like a huge spread for a game like this. I thought the -10 spread vs. SF was ridiculous too and they managed to cover, so what do I know. Supporting this obviously is the Arizona QB situation. Ryan Lindley might be one of the worst quarterbacks in NFL history (seriously, look at his stats). They will probably run 40+ times and throw only when completely necessary. Logan Thomas might come in for some read options type plays. Arizona's running game has been better lately but they have also played 3 of the worst run D's in the league the past 3 games. If Seattle doesn't turn the ball over and they don't get destroyed on the ground like in the KC game they should win rather easily, say 13-3 ? They aren't defending Jamaal Charles this time so I see them shutting down Arizona's rushing attack.
That seems like a huge spread for a game like this. I thought the -10 spread vs. SF was ridiculous too and they managed to cover, so what do I know. Supporting this obviously is the Arizona QB situation. Ryan Lindley might be one of the worst quarterbacks in NFL history (seriously, look at his stats). They will probably run 40+ times and throw only when completely necessary. Logan Thomas might come in for some read options type plays. Arizona's running game has been better lately but they have also played 3 of the worst run D's in the league the past 3 games. If Seattle doesn't turn the ball over and they don't get destroyed on the ground like in the KC game they should win rather easily, say 13-3 ? They aren't defending Jamaal Charles this time so I see them shutting down Arizona's rushing attack.
Comments
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I'm assuming that there will be a backing of Arizona between the time that I get down to Vegas and Sunday getting the line down in the 6.5 or 7 range.
Regardless, I like the Hawks in this game rather easily. Lindley will not be able to move the ball through the air against the Hawks and the only real chance that Arizona will have will be to run the ball - not an area where they are particularly strong as they are 28th in the league in yards per game on the season.
Most would probably say that the under is a lock in this game - even at 37 or whatever it is at right now. I wold tend to agree. However, the real wild card here is just how bad Lindley (and possibly Thomas) are with their inability to throw the ball. They could create some defensive scores and/or short fields for the Hawk offense.
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The Arizona defense is real and the Hawk offense is not a juggernaut. It's going to be a tough game
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This could legitimately be like a 3-0 win or loss.
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I think the line is about right. Both teams will have a hard time scoring, but a 16-7, 14-6, type scores a very reasonable, and all would have Seattle covering.
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Arizona's defense is very tough. Only gave up 19 to Hawks on the road and 6 to the Rams on the road. Their defense could easily hold the hawks to 6-10 pts. Hawks need not give them any cheap scores or field position and they should win the game.
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Hawks had a lot of great opportunities to score but couldn't convert for TDs in the red zone.HeretoBeatmyChest said:Arizona's defense is very tough. Only gave up 19 to Hawks on the road and 6 to the Rams on the road. Their defense could easily hold the hawks to 6-10 pts. Hawks need not give them any cheap scores or field position and they should win the game.
Big key for the Hawks will be to limit the number of sacks given up - they got Wilson 7 times in their first meeting.
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I would be worried about the offense if it legitimately didn't take 6 points for the seahawks to win this game
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Arizona's defense knows they need to score 1-2 times in order to win the game. They will be looking for turnovers more than usual. This could also lead to a couple big plays for the Hawks on offense that normally wouldn't be there.
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Arizona is 6-1 against the spread at home this year. They are also 8-2 against the spread the week after winning.
I dont think these trends are all that predictive, but either way it's interesting. -
They're winless when Ryan Lindley starts and 0-1 against the Seahawks. Those are the only numbers that will matter in this one.JaWarrenJaHooker said:Arizona is 6-1 against the spread at home this year. They are also 8-2 against the spread the week after winning.
I dont think these trends are all that predictive, but either way it's interesting.
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This. It's going to be a slugfest if Lindley can take care of the ball. Arizona's defense is no joke, and the division title is on the line.RaceBannon said:The Arizona defense is real and the Hawk offense is not a juggernaut. It's going to be a tough game
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The #1 seed is on the line really, not just the West.
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This really is the key to the super bowl. We don't have enough offensive consistency to make it through the playoffs on the road. We're going to really need home field to win some ugly 6-13 ball games if we're able to return, imo.CuntWaffle said:The #1 seed is on the line really, not just the West.
Hopefully the emergence of Paul Richardson wasn't a fluke and we'll have a little more in the passing game to stretch the field when needed.
Also the thought of having to play a peaking Saints team at their place scares me. It would be poetic revenge for them to knock the seahawks and their dreams of a repeat championsip out in the first round with a losing record. -
What? They just lost last week at home 41-10 to Carolina.Doogles said:
This really is the key to the super bowl. We don't have enough offensive consistency to make it through the playoffs on the road. We're going to really need home field to win some ugly 6-13 ball games if we're able to return, imo.CuntWaffle said:The #1 seed is on the line really, not just the West.
Hopefully the emergence of Paul Richardson wasn't a fluke and we'll have a little more in the passing game to stretch the field when needed.
Also the thought of having to play a peaking Saints team at their place scares me. It would be poetic revenge for them to knock the seahawks and their dreams of a repeat championsip out in the first round with a losing record. -
I know it was against the Bears, but Brees got back on track and they looked like their former selves. Plus they got push from the middle and heat from the edge, a popular formula 'round here. Just a feeling, but the momentum boost from that game will carry them to the division. I know it's a dumpster fire division, but Peyton and Brees have a championship and know how to get it done, so if they represent the south it won't be a pushover.SteveInShelton said:
What? They just lost last week at home 41-10 to Carolina.Doogles said:
This really is the key to the super bowl. We don't have enough offensive consistency to make it through the playoffs on the road. We're going to really need home field to win some ugly 6-13 ball games if we're able to return, imo.CuntWaffle said:The #1 seed is on the line really, not just the West.
Hopefully the emergence of Paul Richardson wasn't a fluke and we'll have a little more in the passing game to stretch the field when needed.
Also the thought of having to play a peaking Saints team at their place scares me. It would be poetic revenge for them to knock the seahawks and their dreams of a repeat championsip out in the first round with a losing record.
Or they get curb stomped by the falcons next week at home and I'm an idiot. Either way, it will be interesting/i'm still an idiot. -
13-6 Seacocks (Rofl bff buddy!!1!). Cards cover.
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All this talk of a close game just means that my Hawks waltz in and win rather easily.
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Reverse jinx?PurpleJ said:All this talk of a close game just means that my Hawks waltz in and win rather easily.
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One thing to keep in mind too - Andre Ellington will be out for this game. He wasn't having a great year, but he always seems to smoke Seattle. Last year he ran all over them and even this year in the first game he dropped a pass over the middle where he probably would have ran it 50+ yards for a touchdown.
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I think that the Hawks will win something in the 23-6 range after Lindley pushes 1-2 2nd half turnovers to get the Hawks some easy scores.
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Should have started doing this last year.doogsinparadise said:
Reverse jinx?PurpleJ said:All this talk of a close game just means that my Hawks waltz in and win rather easily.
Smooches.
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I can't see the Cardinals winning without being at least plus two in turnovers. Lindly is basically their fourth stringer. Hawks don't deserve a bye or the division if they can't take care of business.
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I really wasn't joking, though. Blowout.
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How is the total 36?
Under = free money. -
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What the fuck? I took the under 37 last Monday and that's about as confident I've felt about a bet. And through 3 quarters it was sitting pretty. Fuck.
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@TierbsHsotBoobsTierbsHsotBoobs said:How is the total 36?
Under = free money.
Fucking. Stupid.
You were wrong.
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TierbsHsotBoobs said:
How is the total 36?
Under = free money.
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Pete Carroll is a classless motherfucker. I should know this by now.
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That's why he is a fantastic coach.TierbsHsotBoobs said:Pete Carroll is a classless motherfucker. I should know this by now.
