I think there will be job displacement, particularly in some areas like administrative work, in the near term. I also think productivity gains will even cut into professional environments at the margins, in the near term. Long term if I was an accountant or software developer I might be worried, and probably a whole host of other jobs as well, but I do not think in the next couple of years any kind of massive seismic shifts will occur, though whenever some company lays off 30 people it will be treated as a doomsday scenario by the media.
edit: I also have pretty consistently read that AI job losses are likely to be replaced by jobs in new fields. I am no expert on this, but I guess I tend to hope this is a simply another shift in the landscape which the world will adjust to. Like the automobile. Completely rearranged society and got rid of tens of thousands of jobs related to horses in the early 1900s (stables, farriers, blacksmiths, wheelwrights, etc.) but made many times that number of jobs with auto factory jobs and gas stations and repair shops. Will be interesting to see what the new frontier is. Just another adapt or be left behind moment in humanity.
While AI may displace some jobs, it's also expected to create new ones, potentially resulting in a net gain in jobs. A report by the World Economic Forum estimates that by 2025, AI will displace 75 million jobs but create 133 million new ones, leading to a net gain of 58 million jobs globally. Here's a more detailed look:Job Displacement:
Automation:.Opens in new tabAI can automate routine and repetitive tasks, potentially leading to job displacement in sectors like manufacturing, customer service, and transportation.
Specific Industries:.Opens in new tabIndustries like manufacturing, transportation, healthcare, and finance are expected to see significant impact from AI automation.
Example Jobs:.Opens in new tabData entry, administrative tasks, basic analytical roles, and customer service positions may be among the first to be affected.
Job Creation:
New Industries and Roles:.Opens in new tabAI's development will likely lead to new industries and job roles, particularly in areas like AI research, development, and implementation.
Examples of New Roles:.Opens in new tabAI researchers, AI product managers, computer vision engineers, data scientists, and AI ethics specialists are some emerging roles.
Reskilling and Upskilling:.Opens in new tabTo adapt to the changing job market, workers will need to acquire new skills to transition into emerging roles, potentially creating opportunities for upskilling and reskilling programs.
Gig Economy:.Opens in new tabAI could also create more opportunities for gig workers and freelancers, as tasks are broken down and outsourced to a wider pool of talent.
Overall Impact:
Net Gain:The overall impact is likely to be a net gain in jobs, as the creation of new roles and industries could outweigh the displacement caused by automation.
Adaptation and Reskilling:The key to successfully navigating this transition will be the ability to adapt and reskill workers for the new roles and industries that will emerge.
Focus on Higher-Order Tasks:AI can also allow humans to focus on higher-order tasks that require creativity, critical thinking, and emotional intelligence, potentially leading to more fulfilling and rewarding work.
That was a fun exercise. Took me 5 minutes to write my little dumb thoughts. One prompt to AI said everything I said (without the fun automobile side story) but with some statistics after one prompt. Took 5 seconds. I will probably lose my job to AI next week. I better learn to be an AI ethics specialist. Whatever the fuck that is.
I anticipated the rise of AI 15 years ago and properly insulated myself from the robotic overlords by becoming indispensable in the world of pest control. No machines can kill bugs like me.
I used it today to speed up some work. I just simply don't see how people that have ever used it can believe it's actually replacing useful people.
It's a productivity enhancer.
An example of where it might cut in is something like basic photo editing, etc that maybe you had someone do at one point that you can easily do yourself now. Simple tasks that only require the most basic skills but if you don't have them then you won't need anyone.
But anything beyond super simple you still need the knowledge, you can just use it to help you speed up.
Comments
I'm on the Ai team of a major company. Don't believe all the hype...
It's more akin to Microsoft office replacing the secretary pool than anything else.
I think there will be job displacement, particularly in some areas like administrative work, in the near term. I also think productivity gains will even cut into professional environments at the margins, in the near term. Long term if I was an accountant or software developer I might be worried, and probably a whole host of other jobs as well, but I do not think in the next couple of years any kind of massive seismic shifts will occur, though whenever some company lays off 30 people it will be treated as a doomsday scenario by the media.
edit: I also have pretty consistently read that AI job losses are likely to be replaced by jobs in new fields. I am no expert on this, but I guess I tend to hope this is a simply another shift in the landscape which the world will adjust to. Like the automobile. Completely rearranged society and got rid of tens of thousands of jobs related to horses in the early 1900s (stables, farriers, blacksmiths, wheelwrights, etc.) but made many times that number of jobs with auto factory jobs and gas stations and repair shops. Will be interesting to see what the new frontier is. Just another adapt or be left behind moment in humanity.
I used Gemini AI to tell me this. lol.
While AI may displace some jobs, it's also expected to create new ones, potentially resulting in a net gain in jobs. A report by the World Economic Forum estimates that by 2025, AI will displace 75 million jobs but create 133 million new ones, leading to a net gain of 58 million jobs globally. Here's a more detailed look:Job Displacement:
Job Creation:
Overall Impact:
That was a fun exercise. Took me 5 minutes to write my little dumb thoughts. One prompt to AI said everything I said (without the fun automobile side story) but with some statistics after one prompt. Took 5 seconds. I will probably lose my job to AI next week. I better learn to be an AI ethics specialist. Whatever the fuck that is.
FRANNY!
I thought you worked for Orkin?
I anticipated the rise of AI 15 years ago and properly insulated myself from the robotic overlords by becoming indispensable in the world of pest control. No machines can kill bugs like me.
It quoted the WEF? All anyone needs to know.
I used it today to speed up some work. I just simply don't see how people that have ever used it can believe it's actually replacing useful people.
It's a productivity enhancer.
An example of where it might cut in is something like basic photo editing, etc that maybe you had someone do at one point that you can easily do yourself now. Simple tasks that only require the most basic skills but if you don't have them then you won't need anyone.
But anything beyond super simple you still need the knowledge, you can just use it to help you speed up.