Championship week bets part 2
greenblood
Member Posts: 14,485
Iowa St vs ASU -2
Early in the week I loved ASU, but with their top pass catcher unavailable, I’m now paused on this one. Skattebo should go off though. Iowa St has a terrible run defense believe it or not. I’m leaning under and sprinkling ASU moneyline in some parlays. But not big on a specific side. ASU 24 Iowa St 20
Georgia vs Texas -3
I’m not touching this one. Beck has actually started playing better, but it’s hard as fuck to beat the same good team twice (unless you’re Michael Penix UW). I lean Texas, but not betting it. And total is about right. Texas 23 Georgia 20
Penn St. vs Oregon -3.5
Call me a homer, but I expected the line to be around -6. I bet pretty heavy Oregon here on full game and -2.5 first half. I also paired them in a moneyline parlay with ASU. Oregon is finally healthy, and Tez got the rust off. I just think Oregon has way more ways to win than Penn St. Ducks will probably double Warren and leave the outside on an island, which I’m fine with because Penn St doesn’t have the weapons on the outside to kill you. I trust Gabriel more than Allar, and I trust Lanning more than big game Franklin. Franklin is something like 1-13 against top 5 teams in his career. His biggest problem is that he gets too conservative in big games. You can’t play conservative against Oregon. Oregon 30 Penn st. 20
Comments
The duck in our office was surprised at the line too
I said Penn State is a national brand
I laughed to myself
But for bettors Penn State does seem to be overrated
paging @dnd
ducks gonna roll
ASU -2 Over 49.5
Miami OH -2 Under 44
Texas -3 Over 49.5
Louisianna -5.5
Penn St. +3.5 Under 50
SMU -2.5
Isn't all the money on PSU-Oregon flowing to take Oregon? Thought I read that somewhere
-3.5 is a sucker bet
Penn State always loses 13 to 10
Except for when they beat UW 13-10
That looks like an incoming duck attack on some retard not paying attention.
What does State Media know that we don’t?
Ducks lose this one by 4. Cook it. That TE will be a problem.
They’d be dumb to play Burch, James or Johnson.
I hate what tv money has ruined with cfb. But you're not wrong. And I will still watch. I just won't love as hard as I loved before.
I have my doubts because Lanning keeps falling short of the finish line in spectacular fashion. If Oregon loses it will be because of him. But, is there one place on the field that PSU is better than Oregon? Are they even equal anywhere?
Oline Oregon, d line Oregon (close), dbs Oregon (neither spectacular), WRs Oregon, RBs Oregon, QB Oregon. Special teams Oregon.
The Lanning factor, however, is an issue until it isn’t.
Always hard to say position by position when comparing against a program like Penn State. Those kinds of schools have great O lines sometimes when they're 8-4. Without even looking it's not going to be as retarded as the one you faced in Dwag. Penn State default recruiting gets a base level of talent there. It's always that against some glaring weakness, like a retarded QB or receivers who drop the ball or a leaky D backfield. But it's never because they're outclassed across the board.
I could be wrong though. It happens every now and then.
Back to Oregon, I could maybe see sending in Burch on key downs. But they are a different offense when Johnson doesn't play, and losing James would kill the natty run. That running game is a full notch down when he's not in there. When he is, fuck, he is a beast.
I didn’t say theirs was bad, just that Oregon has the better of the two. Nor did I mix up the #3 team in the country with UW.
Franklin is something like 1-13 against top 5 teams in his career.
You just double reversed jinxed your team, and you don't even know it. Ask @MikeSeaver and @RaceBannon , two noted sandbagger sons a' bitches and experts on the single, double and, though it's rare, triple, reverse jinx methods.
You really stepped in it with this one.
I don’t like this anymore than you do. I’m more comfortable being scared to death Oregon is going to blow it.
I just can’t find it.
Wistfully, I look back on the days of yore when I cared enough to be scared "my team" was going to blow it.
Those were the days, my friend. I knew they had to end.
Kirby > Sark. Cook it