*****Election Day and Broken Water Main Game Thread*****
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Fox was just saying heavy heavy woman turnout which could actually mean the polls are under for Kamala. I have no idea what to think because I follow none of this closely. I do get the basic premise if women turn out huge then Kamalas chances increase because women are emotional voters, like Bearswiin.
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They are discounting women GOP voters.
If they are female they do skew dem.
If they are voting in person today the skew is even further to GOP than by gender.
Worst case it's evening out. Which isn't adequate to overcome her awful performance with men.
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Early voting and vote by mail for democrat areas was down hundreds of thousands of votes from last time while GOP areas was up. So if they don't show out today, they are cooked.
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Just posted. Can't tell if serious or trying to cover the cheat.
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That's A tossup by Nate.
It's a psyop to discourage same day voters...which skew heavily GOP.
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Saw Oprah telling a crowd if Trump is elected women will lose the right to vote. lol. Just absurdity on top of absurdity.
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Pretty amazing polling going on. They are changing by the hour which means they are worthless. I am not good at picking winners in Presidential politics and I really have no idea who wins this, but I can tell you that if a polling outfit is changing by 1-2% points daily, they are full of crap. There is so much detail that goes into good data research that you can't change variables every day and expect to be accurate.
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Too many rule changes for any of it to be meaningful this year anyways.
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Does kimdotcom post here ?
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Should start a bingo card.
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Big if true.
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like I said
GA/AZ/NC are going Trump.
Watch WI and NH
VA and PA will take forever to sort out. MI will stay blue.
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From that article:
Since 1998, election polls in U.S. presidential, House, Senate, and governor races have typically missed the final vote margin by about 6 points on average, according to FiveThirtyEight's analysis.
For example, in 2020, polls showed President Joe Biden with a strong lead over then President Trump. Just before the election, Biden led by 8.4 points in FiveThirtyEight's average. He ultimately won the popular vote by less than 4.5 points—just enough for an Electoral College victory.
Similarly, in 2016, FiveThirtyEight gave Hillary Clinton a 71 percent chance of winning, but she ultimately lost the Electoral College despite winning the popular vote.
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Wait! Bearswin is a dude?
