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China Watch Superiority thred
UW_Doog_Bot
Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 14,206
in Tug Tavern
Just a thred to share the various information channels I use to watch the CCP. In case you didn't know I've lived overseas at various points and still have frends in Hong Kong and one still hopefully in Shanghai...
https://youtu.be/OmKFt68sqQw
Above is a decent primer. He gives the CCP 15 years but he himself admits it's hard to see inside. I personally take the under but who knows, they could go the route of North Korea and just endure poverty and isolation for 100 years.
Other obvious good channels are China uncensored and advchina. There's a handful of others I'll post as I go.
https://youtu.be/OmKFt68sqQwAbove is a decent primer. He gives the CCP 15 years but he himself admits it's hard to see inside. I personally take the under but who knows, they could go the route of North Korea and just endure poverty and isolation for 100 years.
Other obvious good channels are China uncensored and advchina. There's a handful of others I'll post as I go.
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I was going to ask about China Uncensored then saw it in the last sentence. I think it is a good resource for info. However, I have a friend stateside who cried misinformation. (He naively married a Chinese woman who's a fucking disaster, but I digress.) I still like it despite his protestations.
Also, what do you think about Epoch Times? I was lead to believe they got started in HK as a means to combat the CCP? (I could be totally wrong) I also like their content a lot. A different buddy, claims to have written papers in college about them being CCP-disinformation. Based on the materials I've consumed, I can't fathom that to be true, but still ...
I'll take your answers off-air.
https://hardcorehusky.com/discussions/tagged/pete-carroll-gave-us-coronavirus
Epoch Times is indeed HK which is why you will hear both sides accusing them of disinformation. And it's to some degree true. They are anti CCP but also inextricably tied to them and plenty of HK big money so you will see a "China centric" bias at times.
I'm still trying to decide about Epoch Times newfound foothold in the US and who is pushing that.
Similarly the South China Morning Post can be useful if you understand their bias. Same goes for Taiwanese sources or dissident sources.
China watching is a lot like Economics, it's a dismal science of trying to pull correct info out of a lot of imperfect sources.
This guy is relatively new but is doing a good job of aggregating financial news. There are blindspots that come with that (such as believing GDP numbers) but he does a good job overall imo.
ADV 'nuff said.
China Uncensored optimistic but well researched
Dissidents from former CCP controlled media, they obviously HATE the CCP and root for their fall but are often FIRST when reporting about issues coming out of China.
Obviously, there's no shortage of China Daily and their ilk for you to find the CCP's side of things. Equally, most of our own media has been coopted anyways. Bloomberg is probably the worst but I still do watch it to see what the latest spin is.
I have a couple more obscure sources that are basically random dudes with Chinese business dealings, wives, or whatever but it will take me more tim to find those channels in my watch history.
I don't have a fully formed opinion of the reliability of the channel but 100% I agree with that speculation of the CCP's motives.
They've likely already exhausted much of their foreign reserves(though they claim otherwise) and still only hold 10-15%? of the foreign holdings of US assets(Japan is #1). @creepycoug and I have been through this. It's a piece of CCP propaganda that they "hold so much US debt they could bankrupt the dollar". In total they hold less than 5% of US debt and IF they sold it all off would tank the value of their own holdings. They also HAVE to have X amount of US dollars to be able to engage in exports and imports. This is why you've seen large investment firms trying to drum up investment in China despite anyone with a brain realizing not to. They are being paid by the CCP to try and get greenbacks invested in their economy bc they are running out quickly.
When you said you expected China to irreparably collapse, I couldn't fathom how that was so. Clearly missing something. Then I came across this theory for a pending collapse (below). Is this what you are seeing? If not, how so?
TIA