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PurpleThrobber
Member Posts: 41,859
https://www.spokesman.com/stories/2021/aug/13/watershed-festival-leads-to-outbreak-of-more-than-/
160 cases out of 20,000 attendees.
For the maffmatically challenged, that is a 0.8% infection rate.
For all these reasons, reported infection fatality rates have varied. To get a better estimate, Brazeau and his team looked at 175 studies, finding just 10 they regarded as reliable. They adjusted for confounding factors and calculated the death rate for each age group, including 0 per cent for under 4s, less than 0.1 per cent for people under 40, 0.36 per cent if 50 to 54, 2.17 if 70 to 74, 5 per cent if 80 to 84 and 16 per cent for those over 90.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7834220/
What that also means is if you were a 50 year old who attended Watershed (and most were way younger than that), you had a 0.00288% of dying (0.36% x 0.8% = 0.00288%)
It's fucking absurd that Cho Bai Den is contemplating shutting down borders between states for THAT. A fucking superspreader event for 2/1000ths of one percent probability?
160 cases out of 20,000 attendees.
For the maffmatically challenged, that is a 0.8% infection rate.
For all these reasons, reported infection fatality rates have varied. To get a better estimate, Brazeau and his team looked at 175 studies, finding just 10 they regarded as reliable. They adjusted for confounding factors and calculated the death rate for each age group, including 0 per cent for under 4s, less than 0.1 per cent for people under 40, 0.36 per cent if 50 to 54, 2.17 if 70 to 74, 5 per cent if 80 to 84 and 16 per cent for those over 90.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7834220/
What that also means is if you were a 50 year old who attended Watershed (and most were way younger than that), you had a 0.00288% of dying (0.36% x 0.8% = 0.00288%)
It's fucking absurd that Cho Bai Den is contemplating shutting down borders between states for THAT. A fucking superspreader event for 2/1000ths of one percent probability?
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