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Seattle Real Estate

Sources
Sources Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 4,347 Founders Club
edited May 2022 in Tug Tavern
Looking to buy a house in Seattle (or possibly Bainbridge) - anyone have an educated guess as to whether it's best to wait to buy? Some of the pricing on Zillow looks to be cooling off, but every article I find suggests that things are only continue to go up

Comments

  • NEsnake12
    NEsnake12 Member Posts: 3,795
    Stonks only go up. It’ll probably be a while before the Seattle real estate market cools off, it’s still the fastest growing major city in the country, and the only one on the growth list that doesn’t have a high capacity for new suburban development sprawl.

  • NEsnake12
    NEsnake12 Member Posts: 3,795
    I bought my first condo in Seattle in December 2019, did a ton of research on the market at the time and felt good about it. And since then the Zillow value of the property has appreciated nearly 30%
  • Fishpo31
    Fishpo31 Member Posts: 2,642
    I just looked up a dump we bought in Leschi in 08, plan was to gut / remodel and build an addition. Never got to the addition, it’s a 2 br 1 bath, with a borderline unlivable basement...bought for 400k. 1.2MM now, for a fucking remodeled shack. The good news is it greased the skids to get us the fuck out of there.
  • PurpleThrobber
    PurpleThrobber Member Posts: 48,139 Standard Supporter
    edited June 2021
    NEsnake12 said:

    Stonks only go up. It’ll probably be a while before the Seattle real estate market cools off, it’s still the fastest growing major city in the country, and the only one on the growth list that doesn’t have a high capacity for new suburban development sprawl.




    Not so fast, my fren.

    https://sundancecompanyblog.com/2021/05/11/the-fastest-growing-and-shrinking-cities-in-the-u-s/

    Tejas is da spot in 2021.

  • NEsnake12
    NEsnake12 Member Posts: 3,795

    NEsnake12 said:

    Stonks only go up. It’ll probably be a while before the Seattle real estate market cools off, it’s still the fastest growing major city in the country, and the only one on the growth list that doesn’t have a high capacity for new suburban development sprawl.




    Not so fast, my fren.

    https://sundancecompanyblog.com/2021/05/11/the-fastest-growing-and-shrinking-cities-in-the-u-s/

    Tejas is da spot in 2021.

    The key difference, like I mentioned, is that all those cities in TX and AZ have a shit ton of capacity for suburban expansion, whereas the Seattle metro area is largely developed out. It’s a lot easier to increase supply out there
  • PostGameOrangeSlices
    PostGameOrangeSlices Member Posts: 27,220
    Fishpo31 said:

    Looking to buy some properties in Medina, Yarrow Point, Kona, and maybe even Aspen. Any message board posters on a football forum have any advice for me?

    Buy low, sell high...the exact opposite strategy that I have apparently used for most of my “career” in RE...
    Thanks but why didn't you comment on how wealthy I am for considering those locales?! Jerk me off buddy! I guess Id consider Broadmoor in Seattle too....
  • Fishpo31
    Fishpo31 Member Posts: 2,642

    Fishpo31 said:

    Looking to buy some properties in Medina, Yarrow Point, Kona, and maybe even Aspen. Any message board posters on a football forum have any advice for me?

    Buy low, sell high...the exact opposite strategy that I have apparently used for most of my “career” in RE...
    Thanks but why didn't you comment on how wealthy I am for considering those locales?! Jerk me off buddy! I guess Id consider Broadmoor in Seattle too....
    I hear there are lots of nice “summer homes” on Hood Canal...just what I’m hearing
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,346 Founders Club

    Looking to buy some properties in Medina, Yarrow Point, Kona, and maybe even Aspen. Any message board posters on a football forum have any advice for me?

    Marysville and Kent are your options at this point, unless you change your attitude towards marriage @PostGameOrangeSlices .

    PM me if you want sugar mama advice.
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,346 Founders Club
    Fishpo31 said:

    I just looked up a dump we bought in Leschi in 08, plan was to gut / remodel and build an addition. Never got to the addition, it’s a 2 br 1 bath, with a borderline unlivable basement...bought for 400k. 1.2MM now, for a fucking remodeled shack. The good news is it greased the skids to get us the fuck out of there.

    That's the way I look at my Seattle RE phase. Bought a C minus house that I was never going to like, but felt 2014 was our last chance to get on the appreciation train.
  • PostGameOrangeSlices
    PostGameOrangeSlices Member Posts: 27,220

    Looking to buy some properties in Medina, Yarrow Point, Kona, and maybe even Aspen. Any message board posters on a football forum have any advice for me?

    Marysville and Kent are your options at this point, unless you change your attitude towards marriage @PostGameOrangeSlices .

    PM me if you want sugar mama advice.
    Why do you hate Gorst?
  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,481 Founders Club

    Kona, and maybe even Aspen. Any message board posters on a football forum have any advice for me?

    @PostGameOrangeSlices

    If you are being serious, this is my wheelhouse. Send me a PM. @YellowSnow @creepycoug

    Also can get you dialed in on Kona and Aspen.


    If you are being Sarktastic, Fuck Off.

  • PostGameOrangeSlices
    PostGameOrangeSlices Member Posts: 27,220
    pawz said:

    Kona, and maybe even Aspen. Any message board posters on a football forum have any advice for me?

    @PostGameOrangeSlices

    If you are being serious, this is my wheelhouse. Send me a PM. @YellowSnow @creepycoug

    Also can get you dialed in on Kona and Aspen.


    If you are being Sarktastic, Fuck Off.


  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,481 Founders Club
    Sources said:

    Looking to buy a house in Seattle (or possibly Bainbridge) - anyone have an educated guess as to whether it's best to wait to buy? Some of the pricing on Zillow looks to be cooling off, but every article I find suggests that things are only continue to go up

    I have some thoughts. Will follow up today.
  • backthepack
    backthepack Member Posts: 19,937

    Looking to buy some properties in Medina, Yarrow Point, Kona, and maybe even Aspen. Any message board posters on a football forum have any advice for me?

    I laffed
  • Baseman
    Baseman Member Posts: 12,369

    Looking to buy some properties in Medina, Yarrow Point, Kona, and maybe even Aspen. Any message board posters on a football forum have any advice for me?

    Find more to the moon's that actually get there. HTH
  • PostGameOrangeSlices
    PostGameOrangeSlices Member Posts: 27,220
    Baseman said:

    Looking to buy some properties in Medina, Yarrow Point, Kona, and maybe even Aspen. Any message board posters on a football forum have any advice for me?

    Find more to the moon's that actually get there. HTH
    ATOS is going to get there. I have thousands of shares and 15 contracts in this play.

    Either way, ya boy is living the life
  • backthepack
    backthepack Member Posts: 19,937

    Baseman said:

    Looking to buy some properties in Medina, Yarrow Point, Kona, and maybe even Aspen. Any message board posters on a football forum have any advice for me?

    Find more to the moon's that actually get there. HTH
    ATOS is going to get there. I have thousands of shares and 15 contracts in this play.

    Either way, ya boy is living the life
    I shouldn’t have sold but i took my free trip to Cancun.
  • Baseman
    Baseman Member Posts: 12,369

    - The West is the Best.

    Jim Morrison said so.
  • PostGameOrangeSlices
    PostGameOrangeSlices Member Posts: 27,220
    edited June 2021

    Baseman said:

    Looking to buy some properties in Medina, Yarrow Point, Kona, and maybe even Aspen. Any message board posters on a football forum have any advice for me?

    Find more to the moon's that actually get there. HTH
    ATOS is going to get there. I have thousands of shares and 15 contracts in this play.

    Either way, ya boy is living the life
    I shouldn’t have sold but i took my free trip to Cancun.
    Mail me some fish scale
  • backthepack
    backthepack Member Posts: 19,937

    Baseman said:

    Looking to buy some properties in Medina, Yarrow Point, Kona, and maybe even Aspen. Any message board posters on a football forum have any advice for me?

    Find more to the moon's that actually get there. HTH
    ATOS is going to get there. I have thousands of shares and 15 contracts in this play.

    Either way, ya boy is living the life
    I shouldn’t have sold but i took my free trip to Cancun.
    Mail me some fish scale
    I will. Anything else?
  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,481 Founders Club
    Sources said:

    Looking to buy a house in Seattle (or possibly Bainbridge) - anyone have an educated guess as to whether it's best to wait to buy? Some of the pricing on Zillow looks to be cooling off, but every article I find suggests that things are only continue to go up

    @Sources

    The first answer is it's tricky, and it depends. Not what you want to hear.

    There is always some seasonal slowing going into the summer. One of the best times to buy is in August as there will be less competition as families are busy getting in their last vaca before school starts. We are also seeing the number of buyers per door go down because they are tired of getting kicked in the nuts over and over. But to be sure, they are still out there just - choosing not to compete.

    Thing will continue to go up for the foreseeable future. The one element to this that makes it atypical to a bubble is the sheer amount of cash in the marketplace. Usually in bubbles it's because people are over-leveraged. Not here.

    The wildcard to the previous statement is the forbearances and foreclosures stacking up at the banks. While the preliminary numbers sound extraordinarily high, we must remember these are localized to the areas of the working poor and won't necessarily impact the tech-centers.

    Hopefully this helps. Please let me know any follow-up questions.
  • Sources
    Sources Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 4,347 Founders Club
    pawz said:

    Sources said:

    Looking to buy a house in Seattle (or possibly Bainbridge) - anyone have an educated guess as to whether it's best to wait to buy? Some of the pricing on Zillow looks to be cooling off, but every article I find suggests that things are only continue to go up

    @Sources

    The first answer is it's tricky, and it depends. Not what you want to hear.

    There is always some seasonal slowing going into the summer. One of the best times to buy is in August as there will be less competition as families are busy getting in their last vaca before school starts. We are also seeing the number of buyers per door go down because they are tired of getting kicked in the nuts over and over. But to be sure, they are still out there just - choosing not to compete.

    Thing will continue to go up for the foreseeable future. The one element to this that makes it atypical to a bubble is the sheer amount of cash in the marketplace. Usually in bubbles it's because people are over-leveraged. Not here.

    The wildcard to the previous statement is the forbearances and foreclosures stacking up at the banks. While the preliminary numbers sound extraordinarily high, we must remember these are localized to the areas of the working poor and won't necessarily impact the tech-centers.

    Hopefully this helps. Please let me know any follow-up questions.
    Appreciate the input - this is helpful. Homes cost what they cost, I just don't want to throw a bunch of money into something and suddenly I'm 20% underwater. General consensus seems to suggest that Seattle is relatively immune from a major downturn, which gives me some comfort.

  • DerekJohnson
    DerekJohnson Administrator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 68,573 Founders Club

    NEsnake12 said:

    I bought my first condo in Seattle in December 2019, did a ton of research on the market at the time and felt good about it. And since then the Zillow value of the property has appreciated nearly 30%

    My POS Seattle starter house has increased $161,000 since we sold last July. Christ. I hated that fucking house.
    It wasn't the Taj Mahal but it wasn't a POS
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,346 Founders Club

    NEsnake12 said:

    I bought my first condo in Seattle in December 2019, did a ton of research on the market at the time and felt good about it. And since then the Zillow value of the property has appreciated nearly 30%

    My POS Seattle starter house has increased $161,000 since we sold last July. Christ. I hated that fucking house.
    It wasn't the Taj Mahal but it wasn't a POS
    Yes, some hyperbole on my part DJ. It was better than a lot of crummy old houses. But still it was never going to be a happy wife, happy life home.
  • Kaepsknee
    Kaepsknee Member Posts: 14,913
    NEsnake12 said:

    Stonks only go up. It’ll probably be a while before the Seattle real estate market cools off, it’s still the fastest growing major city in the country, and the only one on the growth list that doesn’t have a high capacity for new suburban development sprawl.

    That data is a full year old.
  • DerekJohnson
    DerekJohnson Administrator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 68,573 Founders Club

    NEsnake12 said:

    I bought my first condo in Seattle in December 2019, did a ton of research on the market at the time and felt good about it. And since then the Zillow value of the property has appreciated nearly 30%

    My POS Seattle starter house has increased $161,000 since we sold last July. Christ. I hated that fucking house.
    It wasn't the Taj Mahal but it wasn't a POS
    Yes, some hyperbole on my part DJ. It was better than a lot of crummy old houses. But still it was never going to be a happy wife, happy life home.
    A great house though if you were a bachelor