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Will Markets Crash If Trump Isn't Re-Elected?

2

Comments

  • ntxduck
    ntxduck Member Posts: 6,253
    DoogieMcDoogerson said:

    Absolutely. Bloodbath. Traders jumping out of windows bad...

    Lol. Fundamental misunderstanding of the markets
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  • Freepuka
    Freepuka Member Posts: 21
    Maybe? Then it will recover like it always does.
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  • FireCohen
    FireCohen Member Posts: 21,823
    ntxduck said:

    DoogieMcDoogerson said:

    Absolutely. Bloodbath. Traders jumping out of windows bad...

    Lol. Fundamental misunderstanding of the markets
    Woosh
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  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,515 Founders Club
    Freepuka said:

    Maybe? Then it will recover like it always does.

    Do you want to wait 10 years for the recovery?

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  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,242
    If the market truly believes Biden will win leading up to the election I suspect you'll see at minimum a 5-10% pullback given at minimum the taxes Biden's talking about.

    Market will likely drop in the 15-20% range by the start of Biden's 4 years if he actually wins.
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  • USMChawk
    USMChawk Member Posts: 1,800
    Tequilla said:

    If the market truly believes Biden will win leading up to the election I suspect you'll see at minimum a 5-10% pullback given at minimum the taxes Biden's talking about.

    Market will likely drop in the 15-20% range by the start of Biden's 4 years if he actually wins.

    Agree with this. I expected a market pullback, starting in Sept/Oct, due to the election. Then Covid tanked it in March. I still expect a downturn but it will be much smaller than it might have been. If Trump wins, I expect the market to resume it’s previous growth rate. I was set to liquidate my daughters 529 in Aug but since she’s taking a year off I’m letting it ride.
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  • Woof
    Woof Member Posts: 770
    It has been priced in by most of the people I work with. There is a huge amount of deal volume in private equity/corporate spinoffs coming in the next 2 quarters due to pent up demand post shutdown and wanting to beat any tax changes that will come from the Biden administration. Markets will slow a bit, but they'll be more like flat at worst IMO.
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  • FireCohen
    FireCohen Member Posts: 21,823
    Woof said:

    It has been priced in by most of the people I work with. There is a huge amount of deal volume in private equity/corporate spinoffs coming in the next 2 quarters due to pent up demand post shutdown and wanting to beat any tax changes that will come from the Biden administration. Markets will slow a bit, but they'll be more like flat at worst IMO.

    Markets are up, so whoever can monetize in this market should push hard to get it done. Will be interesting if debt market will be supportive though
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  • PurpleThrobber
    PurpleThrobber Member Posts: 48,709 Standard Supporter
    DerekJohnson said:

    Swaye said:

    YellowSnow said:

    Swaye said:

    Short answer, yes.

    Dave says no it won’t.
    @SpiritHorse >>>>>>>> Dave

    New Tug motto.
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