Welcome to the Hardcore Husky Forums. Folks who are well-known in Cyberland and not that dumb.

German COVID Study

Tequilla
Tequilla Member Posts: 20,102
https://reason.com/2020/04/09/preliminary-german-study-shows-a-covid-19-infection-fatality-rate-of-about-0-4-percent/

Obviously need to confirm this with some wide ranging testing ... but fairly encouraging that 15% of people have had the virus and the mortality rate is 0.4% ... about 2-4x more than that of the typical annual flu depending on severity

Until the world gets its act together and tries to actually understand the denominators this whole thing is FUBAR

Comments

  • RoadTrip
    RoadTrip Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 8,171 Founders Club

    Tequilla said:

    https://reason.com/2020/04/09/preliminary-german-study-shows-a-covid-19-infection-fatality-rate-of-about-0-4-percent/

    Obviously need to confirm this with some wide ranging testing ... but fairly encouraging that 15% of people have had the virus and the mortality rate is 0.4% ... about 2-4x more than that of the typical annual flu depending on severity

    Until the world gets its act together and tries to actually understand the denominators this whole thing is FUBAR

    Ok. So it’s double or triple the mortality rate - without any significant time spent or money spent to date on vaccine or treatment options other than the front line tonic water/zinc cocktail (fuck off to the literalists. That’s a joke, fuckfaces).

    Even at that, not worth the extreme measures taken if and when this flares up again next season. It’s just not, given that we now are getting reports of herd immunity being built up and the possibility this is the second wave of COVID sweeping through.
    The 2-4X number will be a fraction of this if and when real testing is ever performed. But it begs the question, why hasn't the testing of the entire world ever been demanded like this in past exposures to new viruses? But, but, but this is so much more contagious...whatever...started drinking too ealy this morning
  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    I was right.

    Maybe be domoan too.
  • PurpleThrobber
    PurpleThrobber Member Posts: 48,124 Standard Supporter

    Tequilla said:

    https://reason.com/2020/04/09/preliminary-german-study-shows-a-covid-19-infection-fatality-rate-of-about-0-4-percent/

    Obviously need to confirm this with some wide ranging testing ... but fairly encouraging that 15% of people have had the virus and the mortality rate is 0.4% ... about 2-4x more than that of the typical annual flu depending on severity

    Until the world gets its act together and tries to actually understand the denominators this whole thing is FUBAR

    Ok. So it’s double or triple the mortality rate - without any significant time spent or money spent to date on vaccine or treatment options other than the front line tonic water/zinc cocktail (fuck off to the literalists. That’s a joke, fuckfaces).

    Even at that, not worth the extreme measures taken if and when this flares up again next season. It’s just not, given that we now are getting reports of herd immunity being built up and the possibility this is the second wave of COVID sweeping through.
    The 2-4X number will be a fraction of this if and when real testing is ever performed. But it begs the question, why hasn't the testing of the entire world ever been demanded like this in past exposures to new viruses? But, but, but this is so much more contagious...whatever...started drinking too ealy this morning
    If and when there's actual statistics, not AAU scorekeepers and coroners taking a vacation from toe-tagging the proper cause of death, my guess is COVID is going to be slightly above normal flu but nothing special.

    Less than a 2X multiple, quite easily.

    And Jake Browning still sucks.

  • Pitchfork51
    Pitchfork51 Member Posts: 27,662
    Smallpox in the new world was fake news too

    CHANGE MY MIND
  • UW_Doog_Bot
    UW_Doog_Bot Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 18,185 Founders Club

    I was right.

    Maybe be domoan too.

    I was right you were right.
  • Swaye
    Swaye Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 41,739 Founders Club

    Smallpox in the new world was fake news too

    CHANGE MY MIND



    @swaye survived the white man's pandemic through his bloodline via good breeding techniques and natural selection.



    Praise Allah.
  • PurpleThrobber
    PurpleThrobber Member Posts: 48,124 Standard Supporter
    edited April 2020
    Swaye said:

    Smallpox in the new world was fake news too

    CHANGE MY MIND



    @swaye survived the white man's pandemic through his bloodline via good breeding techniques and natural selection.



    Praise Allah. Spirit Horse
  • MikeDamone
    MikeDamone Member Posts: 37,781

    I was right.

    Maybe be domoan too.

    I was right. So was domoan.
  • Kaepsknee
    Kaepsknee Member Posts: 14,913
    I came for the Gangelt Bang and was not disappointed.