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Doogie's latest charts
DoogieMcDoogerson
Member Posts: 2,509
in Tug Tavern
Nice job social distancing, folks. We aren't Italy or New York
We'll be back to normal by mid-may at the latest in the pnw.
First round is on me.
We'll be back to normal by mid-may at the latest in the pnw.
First round is on me.
Comments
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The version the media would show you to scare you
Note how the gray line going way up is scary?
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I don’t know if we can fully conclude the direction of things but they are looking promising
Clearly there are some testing backlog issues in the data at this point -
Pacific, Wahkiakum, Pend Oreille, Asotin, and Garfield still with 0 identified cases.
Planning on moving out to Pomeroy before the real estate market there skyrockets. -
Some?!? The data is ridiculously skewed toward death as intended. The cumulative charts are meant to instill fear and uncertainty.Tequilla said:I don’t know if we can fully conclude the direction of things but they are looking promising
Clearly there are some testing backlog issues in the data at this point
The numbers I've heard coming back are showing, of those tested, 90% are coming back negative. Zero, zip, nada. That's not being publicized at all. It drives up the denominator which drives down the mortality rate.
As noted, there are entire counties with 0 identified cases. And in other more populous counties like Spokane, the numbers are marginal at best - 54 cases out of a population of 514,681 (2018 est) = 0.01% infectious rate. 10 per 100,000. That's statistically a rounding error. Zero deaths.
Doesn't mean those can't change over the next couple weeks - my own internal recalibration date is April 6 - that's two weeks from last Monday. Given the new developments with the anti-malarial cocktails, the rate of mortality should start decreasing at an increasing rate.
LIFPO while the leftists cheer every time COVID hits a three.
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another little known fact about the cover-19
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This is from this morning
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Our country and for that matter, our state, is a broad territory. These low #s are expected. COVID-19 Panic is jumping the shark for most of the US.
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but it's not the flu! It's more contagious!
You can't reason with people. -
I was right, as I always tend to be.PurpleThrobber said:
Some?!? The data is ridiculously skewed toward death as intended. The cumulative charts are meant to instill fear and uncertainty.Tequilla said:I don’t know if we can fully conclude the direction of things but they are looking promising
Clearly there are some testing backlog issues in the data at this point
The numbers I've heard coming back are showing, of those tested, 90% are coming back negative. Zero, zip, nada. That's not being publicized at all. It drives up the denominator which drives down the mortality rate.
As noted, there are entire counties with 0 identified cases. And in other more populous counties like Spokane, the numbers are marginal at best - 54 cases out of a population of 514,681 (2018 est) = 0.01% infectious rate. 10 per 100,000. That's statistically a rounding error. Zero deaths.
Doesn't mean those can't change over the next couple weeks - my own internal recalibration date is April 6 - that's two weeks from last Monday. Given the new developments with the anti-malarial cocktails, the rate of mortality should start decreasing at an increasing rate.
LIFPO while the leftists cheer every time COVID hits a three. -
I agreed with you as I recallGrundleStiltzkin said:
I was right, as I always tend to be.PurpleThrobber said:
Some?!? The data is ridiculously skewed toward death as intended. The cumulative charts are meant to instill fear and uncertainty.Tequilla said:I don’t know if we can fully conclude the direction of things but they are looking promising
Clearly there are some testing backlog issues in the data at this point
The numbers I've heard coming back are showing, of those tested, 90% are coming back negative. Zero, zip, nada. That's not being publicized at all. It drives up the denominator which drives down the mortality rate.
As noted, there are entire counties with 0 identified cases. And in other more populous counties like Spokane, the numbers are marginal at best - 54 cases out of a population of 514,681 (2018 est) = 0.01% infectious rate. 10 per 100,000. That's statistically a rounding error. Zero deaths.
Doesn't mean those can't change over the next couple weeks - my own internal recalibration date is April 6 - that's two weeks from last Monday. Given the new developments with the anti-malarial cocktails, the rate of mortality should start decreasing at an increasing rate.
LIFPO while the leftists cheer every time COVID hits a three. -
You always tend to agree with me.RaceBannon said:
I agreed with you as I recallGrundleStiltzkin said:
I was right, as I always tend to be.PurpleThrobber said:
Some?!? The data is ridiculously skewed toward death as intended. The cumulative charts are meant to instill fear and uncertainty.Tequilla said:I don’t know if we can fully conclude the direction of things but they are looking promising
Clearly there are some testing backlog issues in the data at this point
The numbers I've heard coming back are showing, of those tested, 90% are coming back negative. Zero, zip, nada. That's not being publicized at all. It drives up the denominator which drives down the mortality rate.
As noted, there are entire counties with 0 identified cases. And in other more populous counties like Spokane, the numbers are marginal at best - 54 cases out of a population of 514,681 (2018 est) = 0.01% infectious rate. 10 per 100,000. That's statistically a rounding error. Zero deaths.
Doesn't mean those can't change over the next couple weeks - my own internal recalibration date is April 6 - that's two weeks from last Monday. Given the new developments with the anti-malarial cocktails, the rate of mortality should start decreasing at an increasing rate.
LIFPO while the leftists cheer every time COVID hits a three. -
but is Lake Alice doing take out?RaceBannon said:
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It's about the number of tests. We were supposed to have 3 million last week. And a million the week before that. We'd have accurate numbers if that was the case and obviously the death rate would plummet.PurpleThrobber said:
Some?!? The data is ridiculously skewed toward death as intended. The cumulative charts are meant to instill fear and uncertainty.Tequilla said:I don’t know if we can fully conclude the direction of things but they are looking promising
Clearly there are some testing backlog issues in the data at this point
The numbers I've heard coming back are showing, of those tested, 90% are coming back negative. Zero, zip, nada. That's not being publicized at all. It drives up the denominator which drives down the mortality rate.
As noted, there are entire counties with 0 identified cases. And in other more populous counties like Spokane, the numbers are marginal at best - 54 cases out of a population of 514,681 (2018 est) = 0.01% infectious rate. 10 per 100,000. That's statistically a rounding error. Zero deaths.
Doesn't mean those can't change over the next couple weeks - my own internal recalibration date is April 6 - that's two weeks from last Monday. Given the new developments with the anti-malarial cocktails, the rate of mortality should start decreasing at an increasing rate.
LIFPO while the leftists cheer every time COVID hits a three.
The backlog depends on who's doing the test. UW Virology (WOOF) has been caught up every single day. Some other private companies are shit and I've heard of people waiting 10 days for their results. Their results suggest we're doing a decent job at slowing the rate too. -
UWhuskytskeet said:
It's about the number of tests. We were supposed to have 3 million last week. And a million the week before that. We'd have accurate numbers if that was the case and obviously the death rate would plummet.PurpleThrobber said:
Some?!? The data is ridiculously skewed toward death as intended. The cumulative charts are meant to instill fear and uncertainty.Tequilla said:I don’t know if we can fully conclude the direction of things but they are looking promising
Clearly there are some testing backlog issues in the data at this point
The numbers I've heard coming back are showing, of those tested, 90% are coming back negative. Zero, zip, nada. That's not being publicized at all. It drives up the denominator which drives down the mortality rate.
As noted, there are entire counties with 0 identified cases. And in other more populous counties like Spokane, the numbers are marginal at best - 54 cases out of a population of 514,681 (2018 est) = 0.01% infectious rate. 10 per 100,000. That's statistically a rounding error. Zero deaths.
Doesn't mean those can't change over the next couple weeks - my own internal recalibration date is April 6 - that's two weeks from last Monday. Given the new developments with the anti-malarial cocktails, the rate of mortality should start decreasing at an increasing rate.
LIFPO while the leftists cheer every time COVID hits a three.
The backlog depends on who's doing the test. UW Virology (WOOF) has been caught up every single day. Some other private companies are shit and I've heard of people waiting 10 days for their results. Their results suggest we're doing a decent job at slowing the rate too.
At this point, tests are more of a waste of time unless you are bed ridden ill. Given the false positives and also that 9 out of 10 that think they have it, don't.
Just gotta stay on lockdown for another couple weeks. That's the only thing that will slow the death rate to a trickle.
I believe the real fear with this virus is that it will mutate and put everyone back to square one. And obviously it thrives in areas like New York and Seattle where everyone is on top of each other. The same with Italy.
But Trump is right. There's no need for areas that have little cases or deaths to continue to act as if they are New York. Spokane should certainly have it's lights turned back on by Easter if their numbers remain low. -
It's FS that the bar owner out in Hoquiam has to shut down operations for the same amount of tim as the bar owner down the street from that ground zero old folks home.salemcoog said:UWhuskytskeet said:
It's about the number of tests. We were supposed to have 3 million last week. And a million the week before that. We'd have accurate numbers if that was the case and obviously the death rate would plummet.PurpleThrobber said:
Some?!? The data is ridiculously skewed toward death as intended. The cumulative charts are meant to instill fear and uncertainty.Tequilla said:I don’t know if we can fully conclude the direction of things but they are looking promising
Clearly there are some testing backlog issues in the data at this point
The numbers I've heard coming back are showing, of those tested, 90% are coming back negative. Zero, zip, nada. That's not being publicized at all. It drives up the denominator which drives down the mortality rate.
As noted, there are entire counties with 0 identified cases. And in other more populous counties like Spokane, the numbers are marginal at best - 54 cases out of a population of 514,681 (2018 est) = 0.01% infectious rate. 10 per 100,000. That's statistically a rounding error. Zero deaths.
Doesn't mean those can't change over the next couple weeks - my own internal recalibration date is April 6 - that's two weeks from last Monday. Given the new developments with the anti-malarial cocktails, the rate of mortality should start decreasing at an increasing rate.
LIFPO while the leftists cheer every time COVID hits a three.
The backlog depends on who's doing the test. UW Virology (WOOF) has been caught up every single day. Some other private companies are shit and I've heard of people waiting 10 days for their results. Their results suggest we're doing a decent job at slowing the rate too.
At this point, tests are more of a waste of time unless you are bed ridden ill. Given the false positives and also that 9 out of 10 that think they have it, don't.
Just gotta stay on lockdown for another couple weeks. That's the only thing that will slow the death rate to a trickle.
I believe the real fear with this virus is that it will mutate and put everyone back to square one. And obviously it thrives in areas like New York and Seattle where everyone is on top of each other. The same with Italy.
But Trump is right. There's no need for areas that have little cases or deaths to continue to act as if they are New York. Spokane should certainly have it's lights turned back on by Easter if their numbers remain low. -
UWhuskytskeet said:
It's about the number of tests. We were supposed to have 3 million last week. And a million the week before that. We'd have accurate numbers if that was the case and obviously the death rate would plummet.PurpleThrobber said:
Some?!? The data is ridiculously skewed toward death as intended. The cumulative charts are meant to instill fear and uncertainty.Tequilla said:I don’t know if we can fully conclude the direction of things but they are looking promising
Clearly there are some testing backlog issues in the data at this point
The numbers I've heard coming back are showing, of those tested, 90% are coming back negative. Zero, zip, nada. That's not being publicized at all. It drives up the denominator which drives down the mortality rate.
As noted, there are entire counties with 0 identified cases. And in other more populous counties like Spokane, the numbers are marginal at best - 54 cases out of a population of 514,681 (2018 est) = 0.01% infectious rate. 10 per 100,000. That's statistically a rounding error. Zero deaths.
Doesn't mean those can't change over the next couple weeks - my own internal recalibration date is April 6 - that's two weeks from last Monday. Given the new developments with the anti-malarial cocktails, the rate of mortality should start decreasing at an increasing rate.
LIFPO while the leftists cheer every time COVID hits a three.
The backlog depends on who's doing the test. UW Virology (WOOF) has been caught up every single day. Some other private companies are shit and I've heard of people waiting 10 days for their results. Their results suggest we're doing a decent job at slowing the rate too.
Correct - the tests are an absolute waste other than it drives the denominator. If a person tests negative for the COVID one minute, they could pick it up 15 minutes later.salemcoog said:UWhuskytskeet said:
It's about the number of tests. We were supposed to have 3 million last week. And a million the week before that. We'd have accurate numbers if that was the case and obviously the death rate would plummet.PurpleThrobber said:
Some?!? The data is ridiculously skewed toward death as intended. The cumulative charts are meant to instill fear and uncertainty.Tequilla said:I don’t know if we can fully conclude the direction of things but they are looking promising
Clearly there are some testing backlog issues in the data at this point
The numbers I've heard coming back are showing, of those tested, 90% are coming back negative. Zero, zip, nada. That's not being publicized at all. It drives up the denominator which drives down the mortality rate.
As noted, there are entire counties with 0 identified cases. And in other more populous counties like Spokane, the numbers are marginal at best - 54 cases out of a population of 514,681 (2018 est) = 0.01% infectious rate. 10 per 100,000. That's statistically a rounding error. Zero deaths.
Doesn't mean those can't change over the next couple weeks - my own internal recalibration date is April 6 - that's two weeks from last Monday. Given the new developments with the anti-malarial cocktails, the rate of mortality should start decreasing at an increasing rate.
LIFPO while the leftists cheer every time COVID hits a three.
The backlog depends on who's doing the test. UW Virology (WOOF) has been caught up every single day. Some other private companies are shit and I've heard of people waiting 10 days for their results. Their results suggest we're doing a decent job at slowing the rate too.
At this point, tests are more of a waste of time unless you are bed ridden ill. Given the false positives and also that 9 out of 10 that think they have it, don't.
Just gotta stay on lockdown for another couple weeks. That's the only thing that will slow the death rate to a trickle.
I believe the real fear with this virus is that it will mutate and put everyone back to square one. And obviously it thrives in areas like New York and Seattle where everyone is on top of each other. The same with Italy.
But Trump is right. There's no need for areas that have little cases or deaths to continue to act as if they are New York. Spokane should certainly have it's lights turned back on by Easter if their numbers remain low.
It's stupid to test unless there are symptoms. People don't all of a sudden go and get ultrasound if they had sex last night to determine pregnancy. Same here. Incredibly stupid to waste time and resources 'testing' for the fuck of it other than it debunks the sky-is-falling-worse-Spanish-flu narrative.
