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Doogie's latest charts
DoogieMcDoogerson
Member Posts: 2,530
in Tug Tavern
Nice job social distancing, folks. We aren't Italy or New York
We'll be back to normal by mid-may at the latest in the pnw.
First round is on me.
We'll be back to normal by mid-may at the latest in the pnw.
First round is on me.
Comments
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The version the media would show you to scare you
Note how the gray line going way up is scary?
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I don’t know if we can fully conclude the direction of things but they are looking promising
Clearly there are some testing backlog issues in the data at this point -
Pacific, Wahkiakum, Pend Oreille, Asotin, and Garfield still with 0 identified cases.
Planning on moving out to Pomeroy before the real estate market there skyrockets. -
Some?!? The data is ridiculously skewed toward death as intended. The cumulative charts are meant to instill fear and uncertainty.Tequilla said:I don’t know if we can fully conclude the direction of things but they are looking promising
Clearly there are some testing backlog issues in the data at this point
The numbers I've heard coming back are showing, of those tested, 90% are coming back negative. Zero, zip, nada. That's not being publicized at all. It drives up the denominator which drives down the mortality rate.
As noted, there are entire counties with 0 identified cases. And in other more populous counties like Spokane, the numbers are marginal at best - 54 cases out of a population of 514,681 (2018 est) = 0.01% infectious rate. 10 per 100,000. That's statistically a rounding error. Zero deaths.
Doesn't mean those can't change over the next couple weeks - my own internal recalibration date is April 6 - that's two weeks from last Monday. Given the new developments with the anti-malarial cocktails, the rate of mortality should start decreasing at an increasing rate.
LIFPO while the leftists cheer every time COVID hits a three.
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another little known fact about the cover-19
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This is from this morning
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Our country and for that matter, our state, is a broad territory. These low #s are expected. COVID-19 Panic is jumping the shark for most of the US.
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but it's not the flu! It's more contagious!
You can't reason with people. -
I was right, as I always tend to be.PurpleThrobber said:
Some?!? The data is ridiculously skewed toward death as intended. The cumulative charts are meant to instill fear and uncertainty.Tequilla said:I don’t know if we can fully conclude the direction of things but they are looking promising
Clearly there are some testing backlog issues in the data at this point
The numbers I've heard coming back are showing, of those tested, 90% are coming back negative. Zero, zip, nada. That's not being publicized at all. It drives up the denominator which drives down the mortality rate.
As noted, there are entire counties with 0 identified cases. And in other more populous counties like Spokane, the numbers are marginal at best - 54 cases out of a population of 514,681 (2018 est) = 0.01% infectious rate. 10 per 100,000. That's statistically a rounding error. Zero deaths.
Doesn't mean those can't change over the next couple weeks - my own internal recalibration date is April 6 - that's two weeks from last Monday. Given the new developments with the anti-malarial cocktails, the rate of mortality should start decreasing at an increasing rate.
LIFPO while the leftists cheer every time COVID hits a three.
