First Legitimate ESPN Prognosticator Weighs In
Comments
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Gladstone said:
Bro. Middle School statistics class. I say this with love.BleachedAnusDawg said:How can we? be projected as the favorite in every game yet only be forecast to win 9? I prefer the Pumpeii method of predicting. Much easier to be right.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l4TLiiY5VCE -
Nobody was teaching statistics in middle school. At least not at mine.Gladstone said:
Bro. Middle School statistics class. I say this with love.BleachedAnusDawg said:How can we? be projected as the favorite in every game yet only be forecast to win 9? I prefer the Pumpeii method of predicting. Much easier to be right.
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TYFYS. My brain was not functioning on the early AM ferry.dnc said:
I'm assuming you know but in case you don't, overall win expectancy is based on win probability in each specific game. So if UW has a 95% chance to beat cupcake a, a 91% chance to beat cupcake b, a 89% chance to beat BYU and a 75% to do the impossible and beat call you get .95 + .91 + .89 + .75 = 3.5 wins.BleachedAnusDawg said:How can we? be projected as the favorite in every game yet only be forecast to win 9? I prefer the Pumpeii method of predicting. Much easier to be right.
Once you add in lower probability games we? are the favorite like Stanford you see how that projected wins forecast drops well below 12. -
Non-ESPN prognosticator weighs in.
Has been awarded as most accurate for the last 6 years. Has UW losing to Utah in the championship and Utah going to the playoffs.
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How is most accurate determined? I'm gonna need to see some McNemar chi-squared tests here, buddy.DoogCourics said:Non-ESPN prognosticator weighs in.
Has been awarded as most accurate for the last 6 years. Has UW losing to Utah in the championship and Utah going to the playoffs. -
whatshouldicareabout said:
How is most accurate determined? I'm gonna need to see some McNemar chi-squared tests here, buddy.DoogCourics said:Non-ESPN prognosticator weighs in.
Has been awarded as most accurate for the last 6 years. Has UW losing to Utah in the championship and Utah going to the playoffs. -
DoogCourics said:whatshouldicareabout said:
How is most accurate determined? I'm gonna need to see some McNemar chi-squared tests here, buddy.DoogCourics said:Non-ESPN prognosticator weighs in.
Has been awarded as most accurate for the last 6 years. Has UW losing to Utah in the championship and Utah going to the playoffs.
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I guess "485" is good?...
