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UW Doog Bot's Season Wins Probability Distribution Calculator ASU win Fupdate
Comments
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Why?HillsboroDuck said:
We? could really use a Stanford win this weekend as well.UW_Doog_Bot said:
Just keep winning and most importantly, beat Stanford. The rest of their schedule lines up nicely for them with their road game against us being the obvious largest hurdle. Having already beat USC and Oregon I could see them dropping only one conference game for the year. If we lose to them we could very easily end up with a tied record in the North with them holding onto the tie breaker, see last year, or even worse, losing to them outright. Beat them, and it is super unlikely that we drop 2 more games to allow them to win the North.YellowSnow said:
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Noted sackless pussy weighs in.oregonblitzkrieg said:
Yeah he sometimes gets hurt.UWhuskytskeet said:
Herbert isn't nearly as TUFF as Browning. He's always hurt. Sad.oregonblitzkrieg said:
Talk to J about that, he's scared of Herbert.UW_Doog_Bot said:
Make the bet or gtfo.oregonblitzkrieg said:
Doog POTW.RaceBannon said:
As the kids like to say today, we are punching down at Oregon. We are punching up at Stanford thanks to last yearYellowSnow said:
Oregon is the benchmark game. They have equal talent to us (based on TBS metrics), a better QB, and are playing us at home after a bye. We win that one and it's good sign that we might be able to run the table.UW_Doog_Bot said:
Ironically, I would say beating Oregon is the least pivotal game for us to win. It's the most likely game aside from Stanford for us to drop so if we beat Stanford and go 8-1 we would still win the North. There aren't a lot of other Pac games than that that we are likely to drop. Lose to Stanford and Oregon doesn't matter either way unless Stanford manages to drop two or more(low odds of that happening).YellowSnow said:
If we can't beat Stanford at home in Nov, we don't deserve to win the North or play in the Rose Bowl and I'm fine with that. Beating OBK would help immensely towards and give Stanford less margin for error. They still have some road games at ASU, WSU and Cal that won't be gimmies but no obvious losses here either.UW_Doog_Bot said:
Just keep winning and most importantly, beat Stanford. The rest of their schedule lines up nicely for them with their road game against us being the obvious largest hurdle. Having already beat USC and Oregon I could see them dropping only one conference game for the year. If we lose to them we could very easily end up with a tied record in the North with them holding onto the tie breaker, see last year, or even worse, losing to them outright. Beat them, and it is super unlikely that we drop 2 more games to allow them to win the North.YellowSnow said:
You can argue that the Oregon game is an "indicator" of how good we are but then that is pulling down the "indepent" assumption built into these probabilities and we are having a bigger discussion of relative strengths of all the teams in the conference.
We just punched up ASU as well
As he slams through an opposing team's defense to score a touchdown.
Less of that, more precision accuracy throws is what we want. -
So you’re sayin, he’s willing to take a bet on himself and go for the score.oregonblitzkrieg said:
Yeah he sometimes gets hurt.UWhuskytskeet said:
Herbert isn't nearly as TUFF as Browning. He's always hurt. Sad.oregonblitzkrieg said:
Talk to J about that, he's scared of Herbert.UW_Doog_Bot said:
Make the bet or gtfo.oregonblitzkrieg said:
Doog POTW.RaceBannon said:
As the kids like to say today, we are punching down at Oregon. We are punching up at Stanford thanks to last yearYellowSnow said:
Oregon is the benchmark game. They have equal talent to us (based on TBS metrics), a better QB, and are playing us at home after a bye. We win that one and it's good sign that we might be able to run the table.UW_Doog_Bot said:
Ironically, I would say beating Oregon is the least pivotal game for us to win. It's the most likely game aside from Stanford for us to drop so if we beat Stanford and go 8-1 we would still win the North. There aren't a lot of other Pac games than that that we are likely to drop. Lose to Stanford and Oregon doesn't matter either way unless Stanford manages to drop two or more(low odds of that happening).YellowSnow said:
If we can't beat Stanford at home in Nov, we don't deserve to win the North or play in the Rose Bowl and I'm fine with that. Beating OBK would help immensely towards and give Stanford less margin for error. They still have some road games at ASU, WSU and Cal that won't be gimmies but no obvious losses here either.UW_Doog_Bot said:
Just keep winning and most importantly, beat Stanford. The rest of their schedule lines up nicely for them with their road game against us being the obvious largest hurdle. Having already beat USC and Oregon I could see them dropping only one conference game for the year. If we lose to them we could very easily end up with a tied record in the North with them holding onto the tie breaker, see last year, or even worse, losing to them outright. Beat them, and it is super unlikely that we drop 2 more games to allow them to win the North.YellowSnow said:
You can argue that the Oregon game is an "indicator" of how good we are but then that is pulling down the "indepent" assumption built into these probabilities and we are having a bigger discussion of relative strengths of all the teams in the conference.
We just punched up ASU as well
As he slams through an opposing team's defense to score a touchdown.
Less of that, more precision accuracy throws is what we want.
But you’d rather him puss out and wait for right time. -
Save those type of plays for the bigger games when it's needed. If it's not needed, don't do it. I don't want Shitmeister taking another meaningful snap in other words.DoogCourics said:
So you’re sayin, he’s willing to take a bet on himself and go for the score.oregonblitzkrieg said:
Yeah he sometimes gets hurt.UWhuskytskeet said:
Herbert isn't nearly as TUFF as Browning. He's always hurt. Sad.oregonblitzkrieg said:
Talk to J about that, he's scared of Herbert.UW_Doog_Bot said:
Make the bet or gtfo.oregonblitzkrieg said:
Doog POTW.RaceBannon said:
As the kids like to say today, we are punching down at Oregon. We are punching up at Stanford thanks to last yearYellowSnow said:
Oregon is the benchmark game. They have equal talent to us (based on TBS metrics), a better QB, and are playing us at home after a bye. We win that one and it's good sign that we might be able to run the table.UW_Doog_Bot said:
Ironically, I would say beating Oregon is the least pivotal game for us to win. It's the most likely game aside from Stanford for us to drop so if we beat Stanford and go 8-1 we would still win the North. There aren't a lot of other Pac games than that that we are likely to drop. Lose to Stanford and Oregon doesn't matter either way unless Stanford manages to drop two or more(low odds of that happening).YellowSnow said:
If we can't beat Stanford at home in Nov, we don't deserve to win the North or play in the Rose Bowl and I'm fine with that. Beating OBK would help immensely towards and give Stanford less margin for error. They still have some road games at ASU, WSU and Cal that won't be gimmies but no obvious losses here either.UW_Doog_Bot said:
Just keep winning and most importantly, beat Stanford. The rest of their schedule lines up nicely for them with their road game against us being the obvious largest hurdle. Having already beat USC and Oregon I could see them dropping only one conference game for the year. If we lose to them we could very easily end up with a tied record in the North with them holding onto the tie breaker, see last year, or even worse, losing to them outright. Beat them, and it is super unlikely that we drop 2 more games to allow them to win the North.YellowSnow said:
You can argue that the Oregon game is an "indicator" of how good we are but then that is pulling down the "indepent" assumption built into these probabilities and we are having a bigger discussion of relative strengths of all the teams in the conference.
We just punched up ASU as well
As he slams through an opposing team's defense to score a touchdown.
Less of that, more precision accuracy throws is what we want.
But you’d rather him puss out and wait for right time.
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You understood the betting terms and didn't deliver. You're the sackless pussy. I'll give you another out though if you decide to change your mind and want to be a big boy.salemcoog said:
Noted sackless pussy weighs in.oregonblitzkrieg said:
Yeah he sometimes gets hurt.UWhuskytskeet said:
Herbert isn't nearly as TUFF as Browning. He's always hurt. Sad.oregonblitzkrieg said:
Talk to J about that, he's scared of Herbert.UW_Doog_Bot said:
Make the bet or gtfo.oregonblitzkrieg said:
Doog POTW.RaceBannon said:
As the kids like to say today, we are punching down at Oregon. We are punching up at Stanford thanks to last yearYellowSnow said:
Oregon is the benchmark game. They have equal talent to us (based on TBS metrics), a better QB, and are playing us at home after a bye. We win that one and it's good sign that we might be able to run the table.UW_Doog_Bot said:
Ironically, I would say beating Oregon is the least pivotal game for us to win. It's the most likely game aside from Stanford for us to drop so if we beat Stanford and go 8-1 we would still win the North. There aren't a lot of other Pac games than that that we are likely to drop. Lose to Stanford and Oregon doesn't matter either way unless Stanford manages to drop two or more(low odds of that happening).YellowSnow said:
If we can't beat Stanford at home in Nov, we don't deserve to win the North or play in the Rose Bowl and I'm fine with that. Beating OBK would help immensely towards and give Stanford less margin for error. They still have some road games at ASU, WSU and Cal that won't be gimmies but no obvious losses here either.UW_Doog_Bot said:
Just keep winning and most importantly, beat Stanford. The rest of their schedule lines up nicely for them with their road game against us being the obvious largest hurdle. Having already beat USC and Oregon I could see them dropping only one conference game for the year. If we lose to them we could very easily end up with a tied record in the North with them holding onto the tie breaker, see last year, or even worse, losing to them outright. Beat them, and it is super unlikely that we drop 2 more games to allow them to win the North.YellowSnow said:
You can argue that the Oregon game is an "indicator" of how good we are but then that is pulling down the "indepent" assumption built into these probabilities and we are having a bigger discussion of relative strengths of all the teams in the conference.
We just punched up ASU as well
As he slams through an opposing team's defense to score a touchdown.
Less of that, more precision accuracy throws is what we want. -
All I read is gutless quooking. Quook-a-doodle-doo mother fucker.oregonblitzkrieg said:
You understood the betting terms and didn't deliver. You're the sackless pussy. I'll give you another out though if you decide to change your mind and want to be a big boy.salemcoog said:
Noted sackless pussy weighs in.oregonblitzkrieg said:
Yeah he sometimes gets hurt.UWhuskytskeet said:
Herbert isn't nearly as TUFF as Browning. He's always hurt. Sad.oregonblitzkrieg said:
Talk to J about that, he's scared of Herbert.UW_Doog_Bot said:
Make the bet or gtfo.oregonblitzkrieg said:
Doog POTW.RaceBannon said:
As the kids like to say today, we are punching down at Oregon. We are punching up at Stanford thanks to last yearYellowSnow said:
Oregon is the benchmark game. They have equal talent to us (based on TBS metrics), a better QB, and are playing us at home after a bye. We win that one and it's good sign that we might be able to run the table.UW_Doog_Bot said:
Ironically, I would say beating Oregon is the least pivotal game for us to win. It's the most likely game aside from Stanford for us to drop so if we beat Stanford and go 8-1 we would still win the North. There aren't a lot of other Pac games than that that we are likely to drop. Lose to Stanford and Oregon doesn't matter either way unless Stanford manages to drop two or more(low odds of that happening).YellowSnow said:
If we can't beat Stanford at home in Nov, we don't deserve to win the North or play in the Rose Bowl and I'm fine with that. Beating OBK would help immensely towards and give Stanford less margin for error. They still have some road games at ASU, WSU and Cal that won't be gimmies but no obvious losses here either.UW_Doog_Bot said:
Just keep winning and most importantly, beat Stanford. The rest of their schedule lines up nicely for them with their road game against us being the obvious largest hurdle. Having already beat USC and Oregon I could see them dropping only one conference game for the year. If we lose to them we could very easily end up with a tied record in the North with them holding onto the tie breaker, see last year, or even worse, losing to them outright. Beat them, and it is super unlikely that we drop 2 more games to allow them to win the North.YellowSnow said:
You can argue that the Oregon game is an "indicator" of how good we are but then that is pulling down the "indepent" assumption built into these probabilities and we are having a bigger discussion of relative strengths of all the teams in the conference.
We just punched up ASU as well
As he slams through an opposing team's defense to score a touchdown.
Less of that, more precision accuracy throws is what we want.
